Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger dominates trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability for the TN-01 House seat, reflecting the district's deep-red status in northeast Tennessee and her history of landslide victories—78% in 2024 and 2022. Recent redistricting finalized May 7 under a new 9-0 GOP map left TN-01 unchanged as a Solid Republican hold per Cook Political Report and Safe Republican per Sabato's Crystal Ball, with filing deadline closing May 15 amid no major shifts. Harshbarger's $1.8 million cash on hand dwarfs Democratic primary contenders Kristi Burke, Herman Garcia, and David Kerr Jr., while she runs unopposed in the August 6 GOP primary after challengers withdrew. Upsets would require a GOP nominee scandal, health issue, or unprecedented Democratic surge in this low-turnout battleground absent.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডTN-01 House Election Winner
TN-01 House Election Winner
$12,202 Vol.
$12,202 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
6%
$12,202 Vol.
$12,202 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$7,982 Vol.
93%
Democratic Party
$4,220 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger dominates trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability for the TN-01 House seat, reflecting the district's deep-red status in northeast Tennessee and her history of landslide victories—78% in 2024 and 2022. Recent redistricting finalized May 7 under a new 9-0 GOP map left TN-01 unchanged as a Solid Republican hold per Cook Political Report and Safe Republican per Sabato's Crystal Ball, with filing deadline closing May 15 amid no major shifts. Harshbarger's $1.8 million cash on hand dwarfs Democratic primary contenders Kristi Burke, Herman Garcia, and David Kerr Jr., while she runs unopposed in the August 6 GOP primary after challengers withdrew. Upsets would require a GOP nominee scandal, health issue, or unprecedented Democratic surge in this low-turnout battleground absent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ভলিউম
$12,202শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger dominates trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability for the TN-01 House seat, reflecting the district's deep-red status in northeast Tennessee and her history of landslide victories—78% in 2024 and 2022. Recent redistricting finalized May 7 under a new 9-0 GOP map left TN-01 unchanged as a Solid Republican hold per Cook Political Report and Safe Republican per Sabato's Crystal Ball, with filing deadline closing May 15 amid no major shifts. Harshbarger's $1.8 million cash on hand dwarfs Democratic primary contenders Kristi Burke, Herman Garcia, and David Kerr Jr., while she runs unopposed in the August 6 GOP primary after challengers withdrew. Upsets would require a GOP nominee scandal, health issue, or unprecedented Democratic surge in this low-turnout battleground absent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$12,202শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger dominates trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability for the TN-01 House seat, reflecting the district's deep-red status in northeast Tennessee and her history of landslide victories—78% in 2024 and 2022. Recent redistricting finalized May 7 under a new 9-0 GOP map left TN-01 unchanged as a Solid Republican hold per Cook Political Report and Safe Republican per Sabato's Crystal Ball, with filing deadline closing May 15 amid no major shifts. Harshbarger's $1.8 million cash on hand dwarfs Democratic primary contenders Kristi Burke, Herman Garcia, and David Kerr Jr., while she runs unopposed in the August 6 GOP primary after challengers withdrew. Upsets would require a GOP nominee scandal, health issue, or unprecedented Democratic surge in this low-turnout battleground absent.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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