Redistricting approved by the Texas Legislature in August 2025 transformed TX-32 from a Democratic-leaning seat into one with an R+8 Partisan Voter Index by extending boundaries from Dallas suburbs deep into conservative East Texas counties. This open-seat dynamic, after former Democratic incumbent Julie Johnson relocated to the 33rd District, produced a Republican nominee in Jace Yarbrough following a crowded March 2026 primary and the subsequent withdrawal of rival Ryan Binkley before the May runoff. Yarbrough secured the Trump endorsement and now faces Democrat Dan Barrios, a Richardson city council member who won his party’s primary. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that favors the GOP nominee by a wide margin ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডTX-32 House Election Winner
TX-32 House Election Winner
$29,518 Vol.
$29,518 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
77%
Democratic Party
22%
$29,518 Vol.
$29,518 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$27,263 Vol.
77%
Democratic Party
$2,256 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting approved by the Texas Legislature in August 2025 transformed TX-32 from a Democratic-leaning seat into one with an R+8 Partisan Voter Index by extending boundaries from Dallas suburbs deep into conservative East Texas counties. This open-seat dynamic, after former Democratic incumbent Julie Johnson relocated to the 33rd District, produced a Republican nominee in Jace Yarbrough following a crowded March 2026 primary and the subsequent withdrawal of rival Ryan Binkley before the May runoff. Yarbrough secured the Trump endorsement and now faces Democrat Dan Barrios, a Richardson city council member who won his party’s primary. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that favors the GOP nominee by a wide margin ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
ভলিউম
$29,518শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting approved by the Texas Legislature in August 2025 transformed TX-32 from a Democratic-leaning seat into one with an R+8 Partisan Voter Index by extending boundaries from Dallas suburbs deep into conservative East Texas counties. This open-seat dynamic, after former Democratic incumbent Julie Johnson relocated to the 33rd District, produced a Republican nominee in Jace Yarbrough following a crowded March 2026 primary and the subsequent withdrawal of rival Ryan Binkley before the May runoff. Yarbrough secured the Trump endorsement and now faces Democrat Dan Barrios, a Richardson city council member who won his party’s primary. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that favors the GOP nominee by a wide margin ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$29,518শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting approved by the Texas Legislature in August 2025 transformed TX-32 from a Democratic-leaning seat into one with an R+8 Partisan Voter Index by extending boundaries from Dallas suburbs deep into conservative East Texas counties. This open-seat dynamic, after former Democratic incumbent Julie Johnson relocated to the 33rd District, produced a Republican nominee in Jace Yarbrough following a crowded March 2026 primary and the subsequent withdrawal of rival Ryan Binkley before the May runoff. Yarbrough secured the Trump endorsement and now faces Democrat Dan Barrios, a Richardson city council member who won his party’s primary. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that favors the GOP nominee by a wide margin ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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