**Redistricting completed in August 2025 transformed Texas’s 32nd congressional district from a Democratic-leaning seat into one rated R+8 by the Cook Partisan Voter Index, prompting forecasters to shift ratings from Solid/Safe Democratic to Solid Republican or Safe Republican.** The new lines stretch from Dallas suburbs northeast into more conservative East Texas counties, diluting the prior urban Democratic base and creating an open seat after former Rep. Julie Johnson moved to the 33rd district. Republican nominee Jace Yarbrough secured the nomination after leading the March 2026 primary and advancing unopposed once Ryan Binkley withdrew from the May runoff; he holds endorsements aligned with conservative priorities. Democrat Dan Barrios won his primary but faces structural headwinds in the reconfigured district. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, and no major subsequent developments altering the partisan tilt, trader consensus reflects the district’s post-redistricting Republican advantage.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডTX-32 House Election Winner
TX-32 House Election Winner
$29,512 Vol.
$29,512 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
77%
Democratic Party
22%
$29,512 Vol.
$29,512 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$27,257 Vol.
77%
Democratic Party
$2,256 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Redistricting completed in August 2025 transformed Texas’s 32nd congressional district from a Democratic-leaning seat into one rated R+8 by the Cook Partisan Voter Index, prompting forecasters to shift ratings from Solid/Safe Democratic to Solid Republican or Safe Republican.** The new lines stretch from Dallas suburbs northeast into more conservative East Texas counties, diluting the prior urban Democratic base and creating an open seat after former Rep. Julie Johnson moved to the 33rd district.
Republican nominee Jace Yarbrough secured the nomination after leading the March 2026 primary and advancing unopposed once Ryan Binkley withdrew from the May runoff; he holds endorsements aligned with conservative priorities. Democrat Dan Barrios won his primary but faces structural headwinds in the reconfigured district. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, and no major subsequent developments altering the partisan tilt, trader consensus reflects the district’s post-redistricting Republican advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
ভলিউম
$29,512শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Redistricting completed in August 2025 transformed Texas’s 32nd congressional district from a Democratic-leaning seat into one rated R+8 by the Cook Partisan Voter Index, prompting forecasters to shift ratings from Solid/Safe Democratic to Solid Republican or Safe Republican.** The new lines stretch from Dallas suburbs northeast into more conservative East Texas counties, diluting the prior urban Democratic base and creating an open seat after former Rep. Julie Johnson moved to the 33rd district.
Republican nominee Jace Yarbrough secured the nomination after leading the March 2026 primary and advancing unopposed once Ryan Binkley withdrew from the May runoff; he holds endorsements aligned with conservative priorities. Democrat Dan Barrios won his primary but faces structural headwinds in the reconfigured district. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, and no major subsequent developments altering the partisan tilt, trader consensus reflects the district’s post-redistricting Republican advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$29,512শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Redistricting completed in August 2025 transformed Texas’s 32nd congressional district from a Democratic-leaning seat into one rated R+8 by the Cook Partisan Voter Index, prompting forecasters to shift ratings from Solid/Safe Democratic to Solid Republican or Safe Republican.** The new lines stretch from Dallas suburbs northeast into more conservative East Texas counties, diluting the prior urban Democratic base and creating an open seat after former Rep. Julie Johnson moved to the 33rd district. Republican nominee Jace Yarbrough secured the nomination after leading the March 2026 primary and advancing unopposed once Ryan Binkley withdrew from the May runoff; he holds endorsements aligned with conservative priorities. Democrat Dan Barrios won his primary but faces structural headwinds in the reconfigured district. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, and no major subsequent developments altering the partisan tilt, trader consensus reflects the district’s post-redistricting Republican advantage.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা