**Incumbent People Power Party Mayor Kim Doo-kyum holds trader consensus at 61.5% implied probability for the June 3 Ulsan mayoral election, buoyed by his incumbency advantage in the conservative stronghold and recent polling edges in head-to-head matchups against challengers.** Democratic Party candidate Kim Sang-wook trails at 31.5% despite fresh opposition unification momentum: today, Rebuilding Korea Party's Hwang Myeong-pil withdrew to back him, and Progressive Party's Kim Jong-hoon agreed to a poll-based contest that could consolidate anti-incumbent votes. Recent surveys, including KBS Ulsan polls from early May, show the race within margin-of-error at around 37% for Kim Doo-kyum versus 33% for Kim Sang-wook, with traders betting on the mayor's track record amid voter preference for continuity. Independent former Mayor Park Maeng-woo lingers at 0.1%, splitting minimal conservative support. With 20 days left, further candidate mergers or campaign gaffes could shift the closely contested dynamic.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডUlsan Mayoral Election Winner
Ulsan Mayoral Election Winner
Kim Doo-kyum 59%
Kim Sang-wook 36%
Kim Jong-hoon 8.7%
Park Maeng-woo <1%
$29,836 Vol.
$29,836 Vol.
Kim Doo-kyum
59%
Kim Sang-wook
36%
Kim Jong-hoon
9%
Park Maeng-woo
<1%
Kim Doo-kyum 59%
Kim Sang-wook 36%
Kim Jong-hoon 8.7%
Park Maeng-woo <1%
$29,836 Vol.
$29,836 Vol.
Kim Doo-kyum
59%
Kim Sang-wook
36%
Kim Jong-hoon
9%
Park Maeng-woo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 23, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Incumbent People Power Party Mayor Kim Doo-kyum holds trader consensus at 61.5% implied probability for the June 3 Ulsan mayoral election, buoyed by his incumbency advantage in the conservative stronghold and recent polling edges in head-to-head matchups against challengers.** Democratic Party candidate Kim Sang-wook trails at 31.5% despite fresh opposition unification momentum: today, Rebuilding Korea Party's Hwang Myeong-pil withdrew to back him, and Progressive Party's Kim Jong-hoon agreed to a poll-based contest that could consolidate anti-incumbent votes. Recent surveys, including KBS Ulsan polls from early May, show the race within margin-of-error at around 37% for Kim Doo-kyum versus 33% for Kim Sang-wook, with traders betting on the mayor's track record amid voter preference for continuity. Independent former Mayor Park Maeng-woo lingers at 0.1%, splitting minimal conservative support. With 20 days left, further candidate mergers or campaign gaffes could shift the closely contested dynamic.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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