Court-ordered redistricting has transformed Utah's 1st congressional district into a solidly Democratic seat with a Partisan Voter Index of D+12, incorporating more urban and liberal-leaning areas around Salt Lake City and shifting the balance roughly 40 points leftward from prior maps. This structural change prompted incumbent Republican Blake Moore to seek another district, leaving an open race where Democratic nominee Ben McAdams, a former U.S. representative and county mayor, faces Republican Riley Owen following primary contests. Election forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party. Potential shifts could stem from unusually high Republican turnout, a significant scandal or health event affecting McAdams, or broader national political developments in the final weeks before the November 3, 2026, general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডUT-01 House Election Winner
UT-01 House Election Winner
$36,963 Vol.
$36,963 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$36,963 Vol.
$36,963 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,600 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$31,363 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Court-ordered redistricting has transformed Utah's 1st congressional district into a solidly Democratic seat with a Partisan Voter Index of D+12, incorporating more urban and liberal-leaning areas around Salt Lake City and shifting the balance roughly 40 points leftward from prior maps. This structural change prompted incumbent Republican Blake Moore to seek another district, leaving an open race where Democratic nominee Ben McAdams, a former U.S. representative and county mayor, faces Republican Riley Owen following primary contests. Election forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party. Potential shifts could stem from unusually high Republican turnout, a significant scandal or health event affecting McAdams, or broader national political developments in the final weeks before the November 3, 2026, general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
ভলিউম
$36,963শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Court-ordered redistricting has transformed Utah's 1st congressional district into a solidly Democratic seat with a Partisan Voter Index of D+12, incorporating more urban and liberal-leaning areas around Salt Lake City and shifting the balance roughly 40 points leftward from prior maps. This structural change prompted incumbent Republican Blake Moore to seek another district, leaving an open race where Democratic nominee Ben McAdams, a former U.S. representative and county mayor, faces Republican Riley Owen following primary contests. Election forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party. Potential shifts could stem from unusually high Republican turnout, a significant scandal or health event affecting McAdams, or broader national political developments in the final weeks before the November 3, 2026, general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$36,963শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Court-ordered redistricting has transformed Utah's 1st congressional district into a solidly Democratic seat with a Partisan Voter Index of D+12, incorporating more urban and liberal-leaning areas around Salt Lake City and shifting the balance roughly 40 points leftward from prior maps. This structural change prompted incumbent Republican Blake Moore to seek another district, leaving an open race where Democratic nominee Ben McAdams, a former U.S. representative and county mayor, faces Republican Riley Owen following primary contests. Election forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party. Potential shifts could stem from unusually high Republican turnout, a significant scandal or health event affecting McAdams, or broader national political developments in the final weeks before the November 3, 2026, general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা