OpenAI’s near-certain 99% market-implied odds for second-highest AI revenue during the week of May 11-17 reflect its unmatched scale in monetizing large language models through ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API usage, which continue to generate far more recurring income than any rival. This positioning is backed by the company’s proven ability to convert user growth into predictable weekly revenue streams, outdistancing even well-funded competitors in the current competitive landscape. While the consensus appears robust, a sudden spike in adoption or new monetization features from Google or Anthropic could still shift outcomes, though historical patterns suggest such rapid weekly reversals remain uncommon in the AI sector.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডOpenAI 99.0%
Anthropic <1%
Google <1%
Z.ai <1%
$28,159 Vol.
$28,159 Vol.
OpenAI
99%
Anthropic
1%
1%
Z.ai
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
xAI
<1%
OpenAI 99.0%
Anthropic <1%
Google <1%
Z.ai <1%
$28,159 Vol.
$28,159 Vol.
OpenAI
99%
Anthropic
1%
1%
Z.ai
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
xAI
<1%
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 8, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s near-certain 99% market-implied odds for second-highest AI revenue during the week of May 11-17 reflect its unmatched scale in monetizing large language models through ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API usage, which continue to generate far more recurring income than any rival. This positioning is backed by the company’s proven ability to convert user growth into predictable weekly revenue streams, outdistancing even well-funded competitors in the current competitive landscape. While the consensus appears robust, a sudden spike in adoption or new monetization features from Google or Anthropic could still shift outcomes, though historical patterns suggest such rapid weekly reversals remain uncommon in the AI sector.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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