US naval forces have conducted multiple transits of the Strait of Hormuz since April 2026 as part of escort, mine-clearance, and overwatch operations supporting commercial shipping amid a fragile US-Iran ceasefire. Recent incidents in early June, including reported drone launches, a claimed helicopter incident, and disputed naval encounters, have sustained elevated maritime tensions and US Central Command activity in the waterway. Allied contributions remain limited, with discussions of UK, French, or other partner naval support for demining or transit security, though China has signaled reluctance to deploy assets. Traders assess outcomes based on whether additional nations commit warships before the June 30 resolution amid stalled broader talks and persistent risks to navigation.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWhich countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
$749,284 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
United Kingdom
9%
France
11%
Germany
10%
Italy
7%
Netherlands
6%
Japan
4%
Canada
3%
India
19%
Greece
4%
Pakistan
20%
United States
32%
Saudi Arabia
9%
UAE
22%
Bahrain
34%
Qatar
18%
Kuwait
7%
Oman
12%
South Korea
9%
Australia
5%
$749,284 Vol.
United Kingdom
$622,857 Vol.
9%
France
$69,056 Vol.
11%
Germany
$16,496 Vol.
10%
Italy
$5,441 Vol.
7%
Netherlands
$6,311 Vol.
6%
Japan
$1,123 Vol.
4%
Canada
$161 Vol.
3%
India
$477 Vol.
19%
Greece
$267 Vol.
4%
Pakistan
$361 Vol.
20%
United States
$11,544 Vol.
32%
Saudi Arabia
$643 Vol.
9%
UAE
$106 Vol.
22%
Bahrain
$170 Vol.
34%
Qatar
$8,484 Vol.
18%
Kuwait
$233 Vol.
7%
Oman
$133 Vol.
12%
South Korea
$180 Vol.
9%
Australia
$11,835 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.US naval forces have conducted multiple transits of the Strait of Hormuz since April 2026 as part of escort, mine-clearance, and overwatch operations supporting commercial shipping amid a fragile US-Iran ceasefire. Recent incidents in early June, including reported drone launches, a claimed helicopter incident, and disputed naval encounters, have sustained elevated maritime tensions and US Central Command activity in the waterway. Allied contributions remain limited, with discussions of UK, French, or other partner naval support for demining or transit security, though China has signaled reluctance to deploy assets. Traders assess outcomes based on whether additional nations commit warships before the June 30 resolution amid stalled broader talks and persistent risks to navigation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 22, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
ভলিউম
$749,284শেষ তারিখ
Jun 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 22, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.US naval forces have conducted multiple transits of the Strait of Hormuz since April 2026 as part of escort, mine-clearance, and overwatch operations supporting commercial shipping amid a fragile US-Iran ceasefire. Recent incidents in early June, including reported drone launches, a claimed helicopter incident, and disputed naval encounters, have sustained elevated maritime tensions and US Central Command activity in the waterway. Allied contributions remain limited, with discussions of UK, French, or other partner naval support for demining or transit security, though China has signaled reluctance to deploy assets. Traders assess outcomes based on whether additional nations commit warships before the June 30 resolution amid stalled broader talks and persistent risks to navigation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
ভলিউম
$749,284শেষ তারিখ
Jun 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 22, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US naval forces have conducted multiple transits of the Strait of Hormuz since April 2026 as part of escort, mine-clearance, and overwatch operations supporting commercial shipping amid a fragile US-Iran ceasefire. Recent incidents in early June, including reported drone launches, a claimed helicopter incident, and disputed naval encounters, have sustained elevated maritime tensions and US Central Command activity in the waterway. Allied contributions remain limited, with discussions of UK, French, or other partner naval support for demining or transit security, though China has signaled reluctance to deploy assets. Traders assess outcomes based on whether additional nations commit warships before the June 30 resolution amid stalled broader talks and persistent risks to navigation.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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