The Alaska gubernatorial primary on August 18, 2026, features a crowded nonpartisan top-four field of 17 candidates, with the highest vote-getters advancing to a ranked-choice general election regardless of party. Incumbent Mike Dunleavy is term-limited, opening the contest. Recent polling shows Democrat Tom Begich leading at around 21 percent, followed closely by Republicans Bernadette Wilson, David Bronson, and Click Bishop, while others like Bill Walker and Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins draw notable support. With vote splitting likely in the final days, trader focus centers on which four candidates consolidate enough backing to clear the threshold, as late endorsements, turnout among independents and Republicans, and campaign spending could shift the order before ballots close.