Current conditions in the Eastern and Central Pacific show no active tropical cyclones as of early August 2026, following the rapid dissipation of Hurricane Genevieve into a post-tropical remnant on August 2. National Hurricane Center outlooks through August 7–8 assign low formation probabilities (near 0% in 48 hours, up to 30% in 7 days) across key areas east of 180°W, reflecting limited organized disturbances, stable atmospheric patterns, and the typical post-storm quiet spell. While the basin remains on pace for an above-normal season overall—with warm sea-surface temperatures and an evolving El Niño pattern favoring activity later in August—the narrow six-day window to August 14 leaves insufficient time for typical cyclogenesis under present steering and shear conditions. Trader consensus for “No” at 59.5% reflects this near-term data from official monitoring agencies.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWill a tropical cyclone form in either the Pacific or Central Pacific basins by August 14?
Will a tropical cyclone form in either the Pacific or Central Pacific basins by August 14?
41% সম্ভাবনা
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 15, 2026
41% সম্ভাবনা
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 15, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC) designates a tropical cyclone, a tropical depression, tropical storm, or hurricane, in the Pacific basin or the Central Pacific basin at any time between market creation and August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the "Pacific" and "Central Pacific" basins are the areas covered by the NHC's "Pacific" and "Central Pacific" Tropical Weather Outlooks at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/. As of the launch of this market, the NHC reports no active tropical cyclones in either basin.
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. National Hurricane Center (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/), including its tropical cyclone advisories, public advisories, and Tropical Weather Outlooks for the Pacific and Central Pacific basins.
If there is a potential tropical cyclone that has not yet been classified by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until August 15, 12:00 PM ET to determine whether a classification was made prior to midnight.Current conditions in the Eastern and Central Pacific show no active tropical cyclones as of early August 2026, following the rapid dissipation of Hurricane Genevieve into a post-tropical remnant on August 2. National Hurricane Center outlooks through August 7–8 assign low formation probabilities (near 0% in 48 hours, up to 30% in 7 days) across key areas east of 180°W, reflecting limited organized disturbances, stable atmospheric patterns, and the typical post-storm quiet spell. While the basin remains on pace for an above-normal season overall—with warm sea-surface temperatures and an evolving El Niño pattern favoring activity later in August—the narrow six-day window to August 14 leaves insufficient time for typical cyclogenesis under present steering and shear conditions. Trader consensus for “No” at 59.5% reflects this near-term data from official monitoring agencies.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC) designates a tropical cyclone, a tropical depression, tropical storm, or hurricane, in the Pacific basin or the Central Pacific basin at any time between market creation and August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the "Pacific" and "Central Pacific" basins are the areas covered by the NHC's "Pacific" and "Central Pacific" Tropical Weather Outlooks at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/. As of the launch of this market, the NHC reports no active tropical cyclones in either basin.
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. National Hurricane Center (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/), including its tropical cyclone advisories, public advisories, and Tropical Weather Outlooks for the Pacific and Central Pacific basins.
If there is a potential tropical cyclone that has not yet been classified by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until August 15, 12:00 PM ET to determine whether a classification was made prior to midnight.
For the purposes of this market, the "Pacific" and "Central Pacific" basins are the areas covered by the NHC's "Pacific" and "Central Pacific" Tropical Weather Outlooks at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/. As of the launch of this market, the NHC reports no active tropical cyclones in either basin.
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. National Hurricane Center (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/), including its tropical cyclone advisories, public advisories, and Tropical Weather Outlooks for the Pacific and Central Pacific basins.
If there is a potential tropical cyclone that has not yet been classified by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until August 15, 12:00 PM ET to determine whether a classification was made prior to midnight.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 7, 2026, 10:59 AM ET
ভলিউম
$320শেষ তারিখ
Aug 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 7, 2026, 10:59 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC) designates a tropical cyclone, a tropical depression, tropical storm, or hurricane, in the Pacific basin or the Central Pacific basin at any time between market creation and August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the "Pacific" and "Central Pacific" basins are the areas covered by the NHC's "Pacific" and "Central Pacific" Tropical Weather Outlooks at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/. As of the launch of this market, the NHC reports no active tropical cyclones in either basin.
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. National Hurricane Center (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/), including its tropical cyclone advisories, public advisories, and Tropical Weather Outlooks for the Pacific and Central Pacific basins.
If there is a potential tropical cyclone that has not yet been classified by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until August 15, 12:00 PM ET to determine whether a classification was made prior to midnight.Current conditions in the Eastern and Central Pacific show no active tropical cyclones as of early August 2026, following the rapid dissipation of Hurricane Genevieve into a post-tropical remnant on August 2. National Hurricane Center outlooks through August 7–8 assign low formation probabilities (near 0% in 48 hours, up to 30% in 7 days) across key areas east of 180°W, reflecting limited organized disturbances, stable atmospheric patterns, and the typical post-storm quiet spell. While the basin remains on pace for an above-normal season overall—with warm sea-surface temperatures and an evolving El Niño pattern favoring activity later in August—the narrow six-day window to August 14 leaves insufficient time for typical cyclogenesis under present steering and shear conditions. Trader consensus for “No” at 59.5% reflects this near-term data from official monitoring agencies.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC) designates a tropical cyclone, a tropical depression, tropical storm, or hurricane, in the Pacific basin or the Central Pacific basin at any time between market creation and August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the "Pacific" and "Central Pacific" basins are the areas covered by the NHC's "Pacific" and "Central Pacific" Tropical Weather Outlooks at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/. As of the launch of this market, the NHC reports no active tropical cyclones in either basin.
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. National Hurricane Center (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/), including its tropical cyclone advisories, public advisories, and Tropical Weather Outlooks for the Pacific and Central Pacific basins.
If there is a potential tropical cyclone that has not yet been classified by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until August 15, 12:00 PM ET to determine whether a classification was made prior to midnight.
For the purposes of this market, the "Pacific" and "Central Pacific" basins are the areas covered by the NHC's "Pacific" and "Central Pacific" Tropical Weather Outlooks at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/. As of the launch of this market, the NHC reports no active tropical cyclones in either basin.
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. National Hurricane Center (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/), including its tropical cyclone advisories, public advisories, and Tropical Weather Outlooks for the Pacific and Central Pacific basins.
If there is a potential tropical cyclone that has not yet been classified by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until August 15, 12:00 PM ET to determine whether a classification was made prior to midnight.
ভলিউম
$320শেষ তারিখ
Aug 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 7, 2026, 10:59 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Current conditions in the Eastern and Central Pacific show no active tropical cyclones as of early August 2026, following the rapid dissipation of Hurricane Genevieve into a post-tropical remnant on August 2. National Hurricane Center outlooks through August 7–8 assign low formation probabilities (near 0% in 48 hours, up to 30% in 7 days) across key areas east of 180°W, reflecting limited organized disturbances, stable atmospheric patterns, and the typical post-storm quiet spell. While the basin remains on pace for an above-normal season overall—with warm sea-surface temperatures and an evolving El Niño pattern favoring activity later in August—the narrow six-day window to August 14 leaves insufficient time for typical cyclogenesis under present steering and shear conditions. Trader consensus for “No” at 59.5% reflects this near-term data from official monitoring agencies.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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