Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, combined with its aggressive push for a September or October listing at valuations near $380 billion to nearly $1 trillion, has anchored trader expectations that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. OpenAI filed its own draft registration shortly afterward but recent reports indicate internal deliberations favoring a 2027 debut to target a $1 trillion valuation amid ongoing profitability challenges and structural considerations. This timeline divergence, reinforced by Anthropic's recent large funding rounds and explicit option to proceed post-SEC review, has driven the strong market-implied odds. Key upcoming catalysts include completion of regulatory reviews, any shifts in market conditions, and potential executive statements clarifying exact offering windows for either large language model developer.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Anthropic
90% সম্ভাবনা
$291,224 Vol.
$291,224 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
Anthropic
90% সম্ভাবনা
$291,224 Vol.
$291,224 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, combined with its aggressive push for a September or October listing at valuations near $380 billion to nearly $1 trillion, has anchored trader expectations that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. OpenAI filed its own draft registration shortly afterward but recent reports indicate internal deliberations favoring a 2027 debut to target a $1 trillion valuation amid ongoing profitability challenges and structural considerations. This timeline divergence, reinforced by Anthropic's recent large funding rounds and explicit option to proceed post-SEC review, has driven the strong market-implied odds. Key upcoming catalysts include completion of regulatory reviews, any shifts in market conditions, and potential executive statements clarifying exact offering windows for either large language model developer.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
ভলিউম
$291,224শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, combined with its aggressive push for a September or October listing at valuations near $380 billion to nearly $1 trillion, has anchored trader expectations that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. OpenAI filed its own draft registration shortly afterward but recent reports indicate internal deliberations favoring a 2027 debut to target a $1 trillion valuation amid ongoing profitability challenges and structural considerations. This timeline divergence, reinforced by Anthropic's recent large funding rounds and explicit option to proceed post-SEC review, has driven the strong market-implied odds. Key upcoming catalysts include completion of regulatory reviews, any shifts in market conditions, and potential executive statements clarifying exact offering windows for either large language model developer.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$291,224শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, combined with its aggressive push for a September or October listing at valuations near $380 billion to nearly $1 trillion, has anchored trader expectations that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. OpenAI filed its own draft registration shortly afterward but recent reports indicate internal deliberations favoring a 2027 debut to target a $1 trillion valuation amid ongoing profitability challenges and structural considerations. This timeline divergence, reinforced by Anthropic's recent large funding rounds and explicit option to proceed post-SEC review, has driven the strong market-implied odds. Key upcoming catalysts include completion of regulatory reviews, any shifts in market conditions, and potential executive statements clarifying exact offering windows for either large language model developer.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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