OpenAI’s confidential SEC filing in June 2026 and pursuit of a $1 trillion valuation—building on its $852 billion March private round—anchor trader expectations for a record IPO raise exceeding $100 billion, now implied at 50.5% probability. The company’s $122 billion prior funding round and heavy institutional backing from SoftBank, Amazon, and Nvidia underscore the scale of capital needs for compute and model development, supporting outsized offering sizes relative to historical tech IPOs. Recent comments from CEO Sam Altman on September 12 ruling out a 2026 listing due to AI safety and alignment priorities have shifted focus to a 2027 window, introducing timing uncertainty that elevates the $40–50 billion and sub-$30 billion buckets at 25.4% each while keeping high-raise scenarios in play if market conditions support a large float. Upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 details or regulatory clarity on AI governance that could refine proceeds estimates.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHow much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
$100B+ 41%
<$30B 27.3%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$70B–$80B 8.7%
<$30B
27%
$30B–$40B
4%
$40B–$50B
24%
$50B–$60B
6%
$60B–$70B
8%
$70B–$80B
9%
$80B–$90B
21%
$90B–$100B
3%
$100B+
50%
$100B+ 41%
<$30B 27.3%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$70B–$80B 8.7%
<$30B
27%
$30B–$40B
4%
$40B–$50B
24%
$50B–$60B
6%
$60B–$70B
8%
$70B–$80B
9%
$80B–$90B
21%
$90B–$100B
3%
$100B+
50%
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s confidential SEC filing in June 2026 and pursuit of a $1 trillion valuation—building on its $852 billion March private round—anchor trader expectations for a record IPO raise exceeding $100 billion, now implied at 50.5% probability. The company’s $122 billion prior funding round and heavy institutional backing from SoftBank, Amazon, and Nvidia underscore the scale of capital needs for compute and model development, supporting outsized offering sizes relative to historical tech IPOs. Recent comments from CEO Sam Altman on September 12 ruling out a 2026 listing due to AI safety and alignment priorities have shifted focus to a 2027 window, introducing timing uncertainty that elevates the $40–50 billion and sub-$30 billion buckets at 25.4% each while keeping high-raise scenarios in play if market conditions support a large float. Upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 details or regulatory clarity on AI governance that could refine proceeds estimates.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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