OpenAI’s prioritization of core large language model development and an anticipated IPO has left little bandwidth for a full social network launch by year-end 2026, supporting the 89% market-implied probability against it. The company’s only prior social experiment, the Sora app for sharing AI-generated videos, launched in late 2025 but was discontinued by March 2026 amid falling downloads, limited revenue, and moderation hurdles. January 2026 reporting described an early-stage internal project by a team of fewer than ten people exploring biometric “proof of personhood” features, yet sources stressed no timeline or commitment to public release. Traders view these factors, combined with intense competition from established platforms and OpenAI’s focus on model releases and DevDay announcements, as strong barriers to a 2026 rollout despite past prototypes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড11% সম্ভাবনা
$77,909 Vol.
$77,909 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
11% সম্ভাবনা
$77,909 Vol.
$77,909 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s prioritization of core large language model development and an anticipated IPO has left little bandwidth for a full social network launch by year-end 2026, supporting the 89% market-implied probability against it. The company’s only prior social experiment, the Sora app for sharing AI-generated videos, launched in late 2025 but was discontinued by March 2026 amid falling downloads, limited revenue, and moderation hurdles. January 2026 reporting described an early-stage internal project by a team of fewer than ten people exploring biometric “proof of personhood” features, yet sources stressed no timeline or commitment to public release. Traders view these factors, combined with intense competition from established platforms and OpenAI’s focus on model releases and DevDay announcements, as strong barriers to a 2026 rollout despite past prototypes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 29, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
ভলিউম
$77,909শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 29, 2026, 3:36 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s prioritization of core large language model development and an anticipated IPO has left little bandwidth for a full social network launch by year-end 2026, supporting the 89% market-implied probability against it. The company’s only prior social experiment, the Sora app for sharing AI-generated videos, launched in late 2025 but was discontinued by March 2026 amid falling downloads, limited revenue, and moderation hurdles. January 2026 reporting described an early-stage internal project by a team of fewer than ten people exploring biometric “proof of personhood” features, yet sources stressed no timeline or commitment to public release. Traders view these factors, combined with intense competition from established platforms and OpenAI’s focus on model releases and DevDay announcements, as strong barriers to a 2026 rollout despite past prototypes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ভলিউম
$77,909শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 29, 2026, 3:36 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s prioritization of core large language model development and an anticipated IPO has left little bandwidth for a full social network launch by year-end 2026, supporting the 89% market-implied probability against it. The company’s only prior social experiment, the Sora app for sharing AI-generated videos, launched in late 2025 but was discontinued by March 2026 amid falling downloads, limited revenue, and moderation hurdles. January 2026 reporting described an early-stage internal project by a team of fewer than ten people exploring biometric “proof of personhood” features, yet sources stressed no timeline or commitment to public release. Traders view these factors, combined with intense competition from established platforms and OpenAI’s focus on model releases and DevDay announcements, as strong barriers to a 2026 rollout despite past prototypes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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