Recent private funding rounds have propelled Anthropic’s valuation to $380 billion after a $30 billion Series G in February 2026, with ongoing talks of a further $30 billion raise near $900 billion, driven by Claude’s rapid enterprise adoption and revenue run-rate surpassing $30 billion. These confirmed capital raises and compute partnerships position traders to assign an 88% implied probability to an eventual IPO closing above $600 billion, while the slim 10% chance of no listing by December 31, 2027 reflects expectations of a 2026 debut amid strong market appetite for frontier AI companies. Key upcoming catalysts include potential Q4 2026 filing timing and any regulatory clarity on AI infrastructure spending that could further lift post-IPO market-cap thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert600 Mrd.+ 88%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 31. Dezember 2027 10%
400–600 Mrd. 1.7%
300–400 Mrd. <1%
$298,166 Vol.
$298,166 Vol.
<100 Mrd. $
<1%
100–200 Mrd.
<1%
200–300 Mrd.
<1%
300–400 Mrd.
<1%
400–600 Mrd.
2%
600 Mrd.+
88%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 31. Dezember 2027
10%
600 Mrd.+ 88%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 31. Dezember 2027 10%
400–600 Mrd. 1.7%
300–400 Mrd. <1%
$298,166 Vol.
$298,166 Vol.
<100 Mrd. $
<1%
100–200 Mrd.
<1%
200–300 Mrd.
<1%
300–400 Mrd.
<1%
400–600 Mrd.
2%
600 Mrd.+
88%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 31. Dezember 2027
10%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent private funding rounds have propelled Anthropic’s valuation to $380 billion after a $30 billion Series G in February 2026, with ongoing talks of a further $30 billion raise near $900 billion, driven by Claude’s rapid enterprise adoption and revenue run-rate surpassing $30 billion. These confirmed capital raises and compute partnerships position traders to assign an 88% implied probability to an eventual IPO closing above $600 billion, while the slim 10% chance of no listing by December 31, 2027 reflects expectations of a 2026 debut amid strong market appetite for frontier AI companies. Key upcoming catalysts include potential Q4 2026 filing timing and any regulatory clarity on AI infrastructure spending that could further lift post-IPO market-cap thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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