Anthropic’s accelerating path to a fall 2026 IPO is the main driver behind the 85% market-implied odds on a 1.8T+ closing market cap. Bankers have signaled plans to raise over $100 billion at a potential $2 trillion valuation—well above the company’s $965 billion private mark from its May Series H round—fueled by annualized revenue climbing from $9 billion at the end of 2025 to more than $65 billion by July, including an $11.5 billion second-quarter print. Public S-1 filing is expected shortly after Labor Day, positioning a late-September or early-October Nasdaq debut ahead of rivals. Traders are pricing in continued AI demand for Claude models while noting that execution risk, market conditions, and any slippage in the regulatory timeline could still influence the final outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert1.8T+ 85%
1.5–1.8T 10.4%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 1.8%
1.2–1.5T 1.7%
$378,103 Vol.
$378,103 Vol.
<0.6T
1%
0.6–0.9T
2%
0.9–1.2T
<1%
1.2–1.5T
2%
1.5–1.8T
10%
1.8T+
85%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
2%
1.8T+ 85%
1.5–1.8T 10.4%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 1.8%
1.2–1.5T 1.7%
$378,103 Vol.
$378,103 Vol.
<0.6T
1%
0.6–0.9T
2%
0.9–1.2T
<1%
1.2–1.5T
2%
1.5–1.8T
10%
1.8T+
85%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
2%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s accelerating path to a fall 2026 IPO is the main driver behind the 85% market-implied odds on a 1.8T+ closing market cap. Bankers have signaled plans to raise over $100 billion at a potential $2 trillion valuation—well above the company’s $965 billion private mark from its May Series H round—fueled by annualized revenue climbing from $9 billion at the end of 2025 to more than $65 billion by July, including an $11.5 billion second-quarter print. Public S-1 filing is expected shortly after Labor Day, positioning a late-September or early-October Nasdaq debut ahead of rivals. Traders are pricing in continued AI demand for Claude models while noting that execution risk, market conditions, and any slippage in the regulatory timeline could still influence the final outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen