Recent polling consistently places left-wing candidate Iván Cepeda Castro in first place with 34–44 percent support, short of the outright majority needed to avoid a runoff, while right-wing contenders Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia trail at roughly 20–29 percent and 20–23 percent respectively. This pattern across multiple surveys has solidified trader expectations that Cepeda will advance and that de la Espriella will edge out Valencia for the second slot ahead of the May 31 first-round vote. Late developments, including de la Espriella’s widely criticized remarks on gender issues, have not shifted the underlying polling gap. The market therefore prices the de la Espriella–Cepeda pairing as the dominant scenario, with only limited probability assigned to an outright winner or an alternative matchup.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertColombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 82%
1st Round Outright Winner 9.8%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 8%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia <1%
$11,437 Vol.
$11,437 Vol.
31. Mai 2026
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro
82%
1st Round Outright Winner
10%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
8%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia
<1%
Other
<1%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 82%
1st Round Outright Winner 9.8%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 8%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia <1%
$11,437 Vol.
$11,437 Vol.
31. Mai 2026
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro
$4,233 Vol.
82%
1st Round Outright Winner
$2,021 Vol.
10%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
$2,488 Vol.
8%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia
$1,534 Vol.
<1%
Other
$1,161 Vol.
<1%
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling consistently places left-wing candidate Iván Cepeda Castro in first place with 34–44 percent support, short of the outright majority needed to avoid a runoff, while right-wing contenders Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia trail at roughly 20–29 percent and 20–23 percent respectively. This pattern across multiple surveys has solidified trader expectations that Cepeda will advance and that de la Espriella will edge out Valencia for the second slot ahead of the May 31 first-round vote. Late developments, including de la Espriella’s widely criticized remarks on gender issues, have not shifted the underlying polling gap. The market therefore prices the de la Espriella–Cepeda pairing as the dominant scenario, with only limited probability assigned to an outright winner or an alternative matchup.
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Markt eröffnet: May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
Volumen
$11,437Enddatum
31. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling consistently places left-wing candidate Iván Cepeda Castro in first place with 34–44 percent support, short of the outright majority needed to avoid a runoff, while right-wing contenders Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia trail at roughly 20–29 percent and 20–23 percent respectively. This pattern across multiple surveys has solidified trader expectations that Cepeda will advance and that de la Espriella will edge out Valencia for the second slot ahead of the May 31 first-round vote. Late developments, including de la Espriella’s widely criticized remarks on gender issues, have not shifted the underlying polling gap. The market therefore prices the de la Espriella–Cepeda pairing as the dominant scenario, with only limited probability assigned to an outright winner or an alternative matchup.
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volumen
$11,437Enddatum
31. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling consistently places left-wing candidate Iván Cepeda Castro in first place with 34–44 percent support, short of the outright majority needed to avoid a runoff, while right-wing contenders Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia trail at roughly 20–29 percent and 20–23 percent respectively. This pattern across multiple surveys has solidified trader expectations that Cepeda will advance and that de la Espriella will edge out Valencia for the second slot ahead of the May 31 first-round vote. Late developments, including de la Espriella’s widely criticized remarks on gender issues, have not shifted the underlying polling gap. The market therefore prices the de la Espriella–Cepeda pairing as the dominant scenario, with only limited probability assigned to an outright winner or an alternative matchup.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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