Polls position far-right independent Abelardo de la Espriella as the clear frontrunner for second place in Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential vote, ahead of center-right Democratic Center candidate Paloma Valencia and left-wing Historic Pact senator Iván Cepeda. Recent surveys from Guarumo, GAD3, and AtlasIntel show Cepeda leading overall with 36-44 percent as the continuity choice backed by outgoing President Gustavo Petro, while the conservative vote remains split between de la Espriella at 20-29 percent and Valencia at 15-23 percent. De la Espriella's outsider profile and visibility gains from recent controversies have sustained his edge in right-leaning polling, though Valencia's primary victory and institutional ties keep her competitive for the runoff spot. The remaining field trails far behind with no signs of closing the gap before election day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertKolumbien Präsidentschaftswahl 1. Runde: 2. Platz
Abelardo de la Espriella 71%
Paloma Valencia 19%
Iván Cepeda Castro 13.6%
Claudia López <1%
$89,279 Vol.
$89,279 Vol.

Abelardo de la Espriella
71%

Paloma Valencia
19%

Iván Cepeda Castro
14%

Claudia López
<1%

Gustavo Bolívar
<1%

Mauricio Cárdenas
<1%

Sergio Fajardo
<1%

Germán Vargas Lleras
<1%

Juan Manuel Galán
<1%

Roy Barreras
<1%

Juan Carlos Pinzón
<1%

Enrique Peñalosa
<1%

Vicky Dávila
<1%

David Luna Sánchez
<1%

Juan Daniel Oviedo
<1%

Luis Gilberto Murillo
<1%

Daniel Quintero
<1%
Abelardo de la Espriella 71%
Paloma Valencia 19%
Iván Cepeda Castro 13.6%
Claudia López <1%
$89,279 Vol.
$89,279 Vol.

Abelardo de la Espriella
71%

Paloma Valencia
19%

Iván Cepeda Castro
14%

Claudia López
<1%

Gustavo Bolívar
<1%

Mauricio Cárdenas
<1%

Sergio Fajardo
<1%

Germán Vargas Lleras
<1%

Juan Manuel Galán
<1%

Roy Barreras
<1%

Juan Carlos Pinzón
<1%

Enrique Peñalosa
<1%

Vicky Dávila
<1%

David Luna Sánchez
<1%

Juan Daniel Oviedo
<1%

Luis Gilberto Murillo
<1%

Daniel Quintero
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Markt eröffnet: Apr 21, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Polls position far-right independent Abelardo de la Espriella as the clear frontrunner for second place in Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential vote, ahead of center-right Democratic Center candidate Paloma Valencia and left-wing Historic Pact senator Iván Cepeda. Recent surveys from Guarumo, GAD3, and AtlasIntel show Cepeda leading overall with 36-44 percent as the continuity choice backed by outgoing President Gustavo Petro, while the conservative vote remains split between de la Espriella at 20-29 percent and Valencia at 15-23 percent. De la Espriella's outsider profile and visibility gains from recent controversies have sustained his edge in right-leaning polling, though Valencia's primary victory and institutional ties keep her competitive for the runoff spot. The remaining field trails far behind with no signs of closing the gap before election day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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