Elon Musk’s tweet volume for the week of May 12–19, 2026, sits at a market-implied sweet spot of 180–199 posts, driven by his established pattern of steady but measured activity amid overlapping demands at Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI. Traders are pricing in the typical rhythm of daily commentary on product updates, policy matters, and cultural topics without the spikes that accompany major launches or controversies. Recent days have shown no major breaking developments that would push output dramatically higher or lower, keeping the distribution centered in the low-to-mid 200s as the next most probable band. The market reflects trader recognition that Musk’s posting rate fluctuates with real-world news cycles yet rarely deviates far from this baseline during ordinary business weeks.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert180-199 46.9%
200-219 29.8%
220-239 10.7%
160-179 5.8%
$9,676,663 Vol.
$9,676,663 Vol.
19. Mai 2026
140-159
<1%
160-179
6%
180-199
47%
200-219
30%
220-239
11%
240-259
2%
260-279
1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 46.9%
200-219 29.8%
220-239 10.7%
160-179 5.8%
$9,676,663 Vol.
$9,676,663 Vol.
19. Mai 2026
140-159
$711,042 Vol.
<1%
160-179
$471,397 Vol.
6%
180-199
$370,611 Vol.
47%
200-219
$359,607 Vol.
30%
220-239
$383,287 Vol.
11%
240-259
$310,241 Vol.
2%
260-279
$295,202 Vol.
1%
280-299
$271,125 Vol.
<1%
300-319
$325,177 Vol.
<1%
320-339
$406,102 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$431,224 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$416,794 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$400,319 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$544,925 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$157,801 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$82,148 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$67,044 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$29,190 Vol.
<1%
500+
$241,769 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s tweet volume for the week of May 12–19, 2026, sits at a market-implied sweet spot of 180–199 posts, driven by his established pattern of steady but measured activity amid overlapping demands at Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI. Traders are pricing in the typical rhythm of daily commentary on product updates, policy matters, and cultural topics without the spikes that accompany major launches or controversies. Recent days have shown no major breaking developments that would push output dramatically higher or lower, keeping the distribution centered in the low-to-mid 200s as the next most probable band. The market reflects trader recognition that Musk’s posting rate fluctuates with real-world news cycles yet rarely deviates far from this baseline during ordinary business weeks.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ET
Volumen
$9,676,663Enddatum
19. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s tweet volume for the week of May 12–19, 2026, sits at a market-implied sweet spot of 180–199 posts, driven by his established pattern of steady but measured activity amid overlapping demands at Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI. Traders are pricing in the typical rhythm of daily commentary on product updates, policy matters, and cultural topics without the spikes that accompany major launches or controversies. Recent days have shown no major breaking developments that would push output dramatically higher or lower, keeping the distribution centered in the low-to-mid 200s as the next most probable band. The market reflects trader recognition that Musk’s posting rate fluctuates with real-world news cycles yet rarely deviates far from this baseline during ordinary business weeks.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$9,676,663Enddatum
19. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s tweet volume for the week of May 12–19, 2026, sits at a market-implied sweet spot of 180–199 posts, driven by his established pattern of steady but measured activity amid overlapping demands at Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI. Traders are pricing in the typical rhythm of daily commentary on product updates, policy matters, and cultural topics without the spikes that accompany major launches or controversies. Recent days have shown no major breaking developments that would push output dramatically higher or lower, keeping the distribution centered in the low-to-mid 200s as the next most probable band. The market reflects trader recognition that Musk’s posting rate fluctuates with real-world news cycles yet rarely deviates far from this baseline during ordinary business weeks.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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