Trump's public statements and social media activity have long featured direct criticisms of political opponents, media outlets, and foreign leaders, shaping trader assessments of whether a specific insult occurs within the resolution window. Recent policy announcements on trade, immigration, and executive actions provide frequent platforms for such remarks, with traders tracking live coverage of rallies, interviews, and official addresses. Historical patterns show elevated odds during high-stakes periods like legislative pushes or diplomatic summits, while quieter intervals reduce the probability. Any scheduled events within the market timeframe, including congressional hearings or international meetings, remain key variables that could trigger or avoid the outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWill Trump publicly insult someone on...?
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
$472,891 Vol.
31. Mai 2026
May 16
87%
May 17
87%
May 18
88%
May 19
88%
May 20
88%
May 21
89%
May 22
91%
May 23
90%
May 24
89%
May 25
89%
May 26
87%
May 27
88%
May 28
86%
May 29
86%
May 30
88%
May 31
87%
$472,891 Vol.
May 16
$5,198 Vol.
87%
May 17
$5,793 Vol.
87%
May 18
$1,617 Vol.
88%
May 19
$1,137 Vol.
88%
May 20
$1,059 Vol.
88%
May 21
$455 Vol.
89%
May 22
$702 Vol.
91%
May 23
$104 Vol.
90%
May 24
$433 Vol.
89%
May 25
$608 Vol.
89%
May 26
$689 Vol.
87%
May 27
$1,003 Vol.
88%
May 28
$501 Vol.
86%
May 29
$378 Vol.
86%
May 30
$96 Vol.
88%
May 31
$369 Vol.
87%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's public statements and social media activity have long featured direct criticisms of political opponents, media outlets, and foreign leaders, shaping trader assessments of whether a specific insult occurs within the resolution window. Recent policy announcements on trade, immigration, and executive actions provide frequent platforms for such remarks, with traders tracking live coverage of rallies, interviews, and official addresses. Historical patterns show elevated odds during high-stakes periods like legislative pushes or diplomatic summits, while quieter intervals reduce the probability. Any scheduled events within the market timeframe, including congressional hearings or international meetings, remain key variables that could trigger or avoid the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 30, 2026, 11:29 AM ET
Volumen
$472,891Enddatum
31. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 30, 2026, 11:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's public statements and social media activity have long featured direct criticisms of political opponents, media outlets, and foreign leaders, shaping trader assessments of whether a specific insult occurs within the resolution window. Recent policy announcements on trade, immigration, and executive actions provide frequent platforms for such remarks, with traders tracking live coverage of rallies, interviews, and official addresses. Historical patterns show elevated odds during high-stakes periods like legislative pushes or diplomatic summits, while quieter intervals reduce the probability. Any scheduled events within the market timeframe, including congressional hearings or international meetings, remain key variables that could trigger or avoid the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$472,891Enddatum
31. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 30, 2026, 11:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's public statements and social media activity have long featured direct criticisms of political opponents, media outlets, and foreign leaders, shaping trader assessments of whether a specific insult occurs within the resolution window. Recent policy announcements on trade, immigration, and executive actions provide frequent platforms for such remarks, with traders tracking live coverage of rallies, interviews, and official addresses. Historical patterns show elevated odds during high-stakes periods like legislative pushes or diplomatic summits, while quieter intervals reduce the probability. Any scheduled events within the market timeframe, including congressional hearings or international meetings, remain key variables that could trigger or avoid the outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen