Elon Musk’s established high-volume posting rhythm on X underpins the tight clustering of probabilities around the 180-219 tweet ranges, as traders assess his baseline weekly output amid shifting news cycles. Activity levels typically intensify with Tesla or SpaceX updates, political commentary, or responses to trending topics, while periods of travel or intense project focus can moderate frequency. With no major confirmed events slated for the coming week, the competitive spread across adjacent bins reflects uncertainty over whether routine engagement or an unexpected development will push totals higher or lower, underscoring how real-time platform dynamics continue to influence market-implied odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert180-199 17%
200-219 16%
160-179 13%
220-239 13%
$235,440 Vol.
$235,440 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
3%
120-139
7%
140-159
11%
160-179
13%
180-199
17%
200-219
16%
220-239
13%
240-259
9%
260-279
7%
280-299
4%
300-319
2%
320-339
2%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 17%
200-219 16%
160-179 13%
220-239 13%
$235,440 Vol.
$235,440 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
3%
120-139
7%
140-159
11%
160-179
13%
180-199
17%
200-219
16%
220-239
13%
240-259
9%
260-279
7%
280-299
4%
300-319
2%
320-339
2%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: May 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskElon Musk’s established high-volume posting rhythm on X underpins the tight clustering of probabilities around the 180-219 tweet ranges, as traders assess his baseline weekly output amid shifting news cycles. Activity levels typically intensify with Tesla or SpaceX updates, political commentary, or responses to trending topics, while periods of travel or intense project focus can moderate frequency. With no major confirmed events slated for the coming week, the competitive spread across adjacent bins reflects uncertainty over whether routine engagement or an unexpected development will push totals higher or lower, underscoring how real-time platform dynamics continue to influence market-implied odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen