As rehearsals wrap up today at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle ahead of Thursday's Second Semi-Final, trader consensus heavily favors qualification for frontrunners Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem"), Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse"), Romania's Alexandra Căpitănescu ("Choke Me"), and Ukraine's Leléka ("Ridnym"), buoyed by strong staging, vocal prowess, and diaspora televote potential. Bulgaria's DARA ("Bangaranga") surged after topping the press poll, while battles loom for the final spots among Cyprus' Antigoni ("Jalla"), Norway's Jonas Lovv ("Ya Ya Ya"), and dark horses like Czechia and Albania. First Semi-Final qualifiers like Sweden's Felicia set a high bar; public and jury votes tomorrow at 21:00 CEST could spark upsets before Saturday's Grand Final.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertEurovision 2026: Zweites Halbfinale
Eurovision 2026: Zweites Halbfinale
$469,228 Vol.

Dänemark
100%

Australien
99%

Rumänien
98%

Ukraine
98%

Bulgarien
85%

Tschechien
83%

Albanien
82%

Malta
78%

Zypern
58%

Norwegen
56%

Schweiz
46%

Lettland
40%

Armenien
32%

Luxemburg
22%

Aserbaidschan
6%
$469,228 Vol.

Dänemark
100%

Australien
99%

Rumänien
98%

Ukraine
98%

Bulgarien
85%

Tschechien
83%

Albanien
82%

Malta
78%

Zypern
58%

Norwegen
56%

Schweiz
46%

Lettland
40%

Armenien
32%

Luxemburg
22%

Aserbaidschan
6%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...As rehearsals wrap up today at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle ahead of Thursday's Second Semi-Final, trader consensus heavily favors qualification for frontrunners Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem"), Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse"), Romania's Alexandra Căpitănescu ("Choke Me"), and Ukraine's Leléka ("Ridnym"), buoyed by strong staging, vocal prowess, and diaspora televote potential. Bulgaria's DARA ("Bangaranga") surged after topping the press poll, while battles loom for the final spots among Cyprus' Antigoni ("Jalla"), Norway's Jonas Lovv ("Ya Ya Ya"), and dark horses like Czechia and Albania. First Semi-Final qualifiers like Sweden's Felicia set a high bar; public and jury votes tomorrow at 21:00 CEST could spark upsets before Saturday's Grand Final.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen