Bulgaria's commanding 100% market-implied probability stems directly from Dara's decisive victory in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final in Vienna, where her upbeat track "Bangaranga" earned 516 points and swept both jury and public votes for the country's first-ever win. Traders have rapidly priced in the outcome following the live performance and official tally, reflecting the contest's clear resolution criteria around total points and dual voting systems. Historical precedent shows such lopsided results rarely shift once the ceremony concludes, though an extremely narrow technical recount or disqualification on voting irregularities could theoretically reopen the field in the hours immediately after the announcement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertEurovision-Gewinner 2026
Albanien <1%
Österreich <1%
Belgien <1%
Kroatien <1%
$193,876,873 Vol.
$193,876,873 Vol.

Albanien
<1%

Österreich
<1%

Belgien
<1%

Kroatien
<1%

Tschechien
<1%

Frankreich
<1%

Deutschland
<1%

Israel
<1%

Moldawien
<1%

Norwegen
<1%

Schweden
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Australien
<1%

Zypern
<1%

Dänemark
<1%

Finnland
<1%

Griechenland
<1%

Italien
<1%

Litauen
<1%

Malta
<1%

Polen
<1%

Rumänien
<1%

Serbien
<1%

Vereinigtes Königreich
<1%
Albanien <1%
Österreich <1%
Belgien <1%
Kroatien <1%
$193,876,873 Vol.
$193,876,873 Vol.

Albanien
<1%

Österreich
<1%

Belgien
<1%

Kroatien
<1%

Tschechien
<1%

Frankreich
<1%

Deutschland
<1%

Israel
<1%

Moldawien
<1%

Norwegen
<1%

Schweden
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Australien
<1%

Zypern
<1%

Dänemark
<1%

Finnland
<1%

Griechenland
<1%

Italien
<1%

Litauen
<1%

Malta
<1%

Polen
<1%

Rumänien
<1%

Serbien
<1%

Vereinigtes Königreich
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Bulgaria's commanding 100% market-implied probability stems directly from Dara's decisive victory in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final in Vienna, where her upbeat track "Bangaranga" earned 516 points and swept both jury and public votes for the country's first-ever win. Traders have rapidly priced in the outcome following the live performance and official tally, reflecting the contest's clear resolution criteria around total points and dual voting systems. Historical precedent shows such lopsided results rarely shift once the ceremony concludes, though an extremely narrow technical recount or disqualification on voting irregularities could theoretically reopen the field in the hours immediately after the announcement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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