Current forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources indicate a multi-cloud day for Beijing on September 23 with highs near 29–30°C under southerly flow shifting northeast, consistent with recent observations of 28–31°C peaks amid transitional autumn patterns. Trader emphasis on 31–32°C outcomes stems from uncertainty in peak diurnal heating, where reduced cloud cover could enhance solar insolation and allow greater boundary-layer warming before the expected shift to cooler, moister air and possible precipitation by September 24. Key differentiators include exact timing of wind veering, urban heat effects at official stations, and minor model spread in maximum temperature amid stable high pressure giving way to frontal influences. Historical September baselines near 25°C underscore the current anomaly, with resolution hinging on updated short-range guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Peking am 23. September?
31°C 30%
32°C 27%
30°C 22%
33°C 16%
26°C oder niedriger
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
6%
30°C
22%
31°C
30%
32°C
27%
33°C
16%
34°C
10%
35°C
15%
36°C oder höher
15%
31°C 30%
32°C 27%
30°C 22%
33°C 16%
26°C oder niedriger
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
6%
30°C
22%
31°C
30%
32°C
27%
33°C
16%
34°C
10%
35°C
15%
36°C oder höher
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources indicate a multi-cloud day for Beijing on September 23 with highs near 29–30°C under southerly flow shifting northeast, consistent with recent observations of 28–31°C peaks amid transitional autumn patterns. Trader emphasis on 31–32°C outcomes stems from uncertainty in peak diurnal heating, where reduced cloud cover could enhance solar insolation and allow greater boundary-layer warming before the expected shift to cooler, moister air and possible precipitation by September 24. Key differentiators include exact timing of wind veering, urban heat effects at official stations, and minor model spread in maximum temperature amid stable high pressure giving way to frontal influences. Historical September baselines near 25°C underscore the current anomaly, with resolution hinging on updated short-range guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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