Trader sentiment centers on 18°C and 19°C as leading outcomes because official forecasts from Argentine meteorological sources project a daytime maximum in that narrow range for Buenos Aires on August 16 amid typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions. Moderate north winds are advecting slightly milder air masses, while persistent cloud cover and light precipitation limit daytime solar heating compared with clearer periods earlier in the month. This aligns with long-term August climatology showing average highs near 17°C and recent observations of 15–16°C maxima on preceding days. Model consensus supports modest warming without crossing into the low 20s, keeping higher-temperature bins at low implied probabilities. Updated regional guidance and surface observations through the afternoon will refine final resolution as the day progresses.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 16. August?
18°C 55%
19°C 26%
17°C 16%
20°C 4%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
3%
17°C
16%
18°C
55%
19°C
26%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 55%
19°C 26%
17°C 16%
20°C 4%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
3%
17°C
16%
18°C
55%
19°C
26%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 15, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment centers on 18°C and 19°C as leading outcomes because official forecasts from Argentine meteorological sources project a daytime maximum in that narrow range for Buenos Aires on August 16 amid typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions. Moderate north winds are advecting slightly milder air masses, while persistent cloud cover and light precipitation limit daytime solar heating compared with clearer periods earlier in the month. This aligns with long-term August climatology showing average highs near 17°C and recent observations of 15–16°C maxima on preceding days. Model consensus supports modest warming without crossing into the low 20s, keeping higher-temperature bins at low implied probabilities. Updated regional guidance and surface observations through the afternoon will refine final resolution as the day progresses.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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