Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate peak highs in Chongqing clustering near 39–41 °C on July 16, with close market-implied odds reflecting modest uncertainty in maximum temperature. Subtropical high pressure, strong July solar insolation, and the region’s characteristic high humidity and urban heat-island effects support elevated readings, while scattered afternoon convection or increased cloud cover could limit peaks. Historical midsummer baselines near 33–35 °C provide context for the current warmer pattern; traders weigh the latest high-resolution model outputs and any revisions in steering flow or moisture return as the primary near-term catalysts ahead of the daily observation window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chongqing am 16. Juli?
40°C 37%
39°C 28%
41°C 16%
38°C 12%
35°C or below
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
5%
38°C
12%
39°C
28%
40°C
37%
41°C
16%
42°C
4%
43°C
2%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
40°C 37%
39°C 28%
41°C 16%
38°C 12%
35°C or below
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
5%
38°C
12%
39°C
28%
40°C
37%
41°C
16%
42°C
4%
43°C
2%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate peak highs in Chongqing clustering near 39–41 °C on July 16, with close market-implied odds reflecting modest uncertainty in maximum temperature. Subtropical high pressure, strong July solar insolation, and the region’s characteristic high humidity and urban heat-island effects support elevated readings, while scattered afternoon convection or increased cloud cover could limit peaks. Historical midsummer baselines near 33–35 °C provide context for the current warmer pattern; traders weigh the latest high-resolution model outputs and any revisions in steering flow or moisture return as the primary near-term catalysts ahead of the daily observation window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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