Persistent marine layer influence and onshore Pacific flow are moderating coastal Los Angeles temperatures on August 16, with National Weather Service forecasts for LAX projecting a high near 77°F after morning clouds clear. This setup explains the market’s strong 62% implied probability for 76-77°F as the daily high, ahead of 78-79°F at 29.5%, by suppressing typical August afternoon warming that averages 82-85°F. Recent model consensus and observational data from the Los Angeles basin reinforce limited inland heat penetration today, though any earlier-than-expected clearing or reduced stratus could allow modest warming toward the upper end of the favored range before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Los Angeles am 16. August?
76-77°F 62%
78-79°F 31%
74-75°F 6%
80-81°F 3%
67°F oder niedriger
<1%
20-21°C
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
62%
78-79°F
31%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F oder höher
<1%
76-77°F 62%
78-79°F 31%
74-75°F 6%
80-81°F 3%
67°F oder niedriger
<1%
20-21°C
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
62%
78-79°F
31%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F oder höher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent marine layer influence and onshore Pacific flow are moderating coastal Los Angeles temperatures on August 16, with National Weather Service forecasts for LAX projecting a high near 77°F after morning clouds clear. This setup explains the market’s strong 62% implied probability for 76-77°F as the daily high, ahead of 78-79°F at 29.5%, by suppressing typical August afternoon warming that averages 82-85°F. Recent model consensus and observational data from the Los Angeles basin reinforce limited inland heat penetration today, though any earlier-than-expected clearing or reduced stratus could allow modest warming toward the upper end of the favored range before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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