Recent forecasts from AEMET and models like those referenced by BBC and AccuWeather point to maximum temperatures of 32–34°C in Madrid on August 3, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge and moderating Atlantic airflow after Spain’s third major heatwave of 2026 in July. Madrid’s high-elevation continental setting typically amplifies daytime heating under clear skies, yet early August climatology shows a gradual seasonal decline from July peaks. Trader consensus clustering on 33°C reflects this narrow forecast range and limited model spread, with only modest upside risk from any delayed Saharan air intrusion or downslope warming. Updated AEMET guidance and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Madrid am 3. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Madrid am 3. August?
33°C 46%
34°C 25%
32°C 18%
35°C 7%
NEU
NEU
3. Aug. 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
18%
33°C
46%
34°C
25%
35°C
7%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 46%
34°C 25%
32°C 18%
35°C 7%
NEU
NEU
3. Aug. 2026
29°C or below
$88 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$25 Vol.
2%
31°C
$569 Vol.
3%
32°C
$881 Vol.
18%
33°C
$477 Vol.
46%
34°C
$437 Vol.
25%
35°C
$317 Vol.
7%
36°C
$216 Vol.
3%
37°C
$40 Vol.
1%
38°C
$137 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$151 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from AEMET and models like those referenced by BBC and AccuWeather point to maximum temperatures of 32–34°C in Madrid on August 3, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge and moderating Atlantic airflow after Spain’s third major heatwave of 2026 in July. Madrid’s high-elevation continental setting typically amplifies daytime heating under clear skies, yet early August climatology shows a gradual seasonal decline from July peaks. Trader consensus clustering on 33°C reflects this narrow forecast range and limited model spread, with only modest upside risk from any delayed Saharan air intrusion or downslope warming. Updated AEMET guidance and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$3,337Enddatum
3. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from AEMET and models like those referenced by BBC and AccuWeather point to maximum temperatures of 32–34°C in Madrid on August 3, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge and moderating Atlantic airflow after Spain’s third major heatwave of 2026 in July. Madrid’s high-elevation continental setting typically amplifies daytime heating under clear skies, yet early August climatology shows a gradual seasonal decline from July peaks. Trader consensus clustering on 33°C reflects this narrow forecast range and limited model spread, with only modest upside risk from any delayed Saharan air intrusion or downslope warming. Updated AEMET guidance and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,337Enddatum
3. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from AEMET and models like those referenced by BBC and AccuWeather point to maximum temperatures of 32–34°C in Madrid on August 3, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge and moderating Atlantic airflow after Spain’s third major heatwave of 2026 in July. Madrid’s high-elevation continental setting typically amplifies daytime heating under clear skies, yet early August climatology shows a gradual seasonal decline from July peaks. Trader consensus clustering on 33°C reflects this narrow forecast range and limited model spread, with only modest upside risk from any delayed Saharan air intrusion or downslope warming. Updated AEMET guidance and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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