**Forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS, along with official outlooks from Spain’s AEMET and sources such as the UK Met Office, place Madrid’s July 10 maximum in the mid-30s Celsius, with ensemble spreads centering near 36–37 °C.** A persistent subtropical ridge supports strong subsidence warming and clear skies, while weak Atlantic flow limits stronger cooling; however, small differences in the timing or strength of any short-wave trough or increased boundary-layer moisture can trim the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical July averages near 32–35 °C provide context, yet current conditions favor an above-normal outcome. Trader positioning remains tight between 35 °C and 37 °C precisely because the latest model runs show overlapping solutions within that narrow window, with resolution depending on the final 48-hour forecast updates from global and regional ensembles.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Madrid am 10. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Madrid am 10. Juli?
36°C 63%
35°C 21%
37°C 15%
38°C 3.9%
NEU
$35,813 Vol.
NEU
$35,813 Vol.
10. Juli 2026
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
21%
36°C
63%
37°C
15%
38°C
4%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C oder höher
<1%
36°C 63%
35°C 21%
37°C 15%
38°C 3.9%
NEU
$35,813 Vol.
NEU
$35,813 Vol.
10. Juli 2026
32°C or below
$1,539 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,171 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$3,742 Vol.
1%
35°C
$5,147 Vol.
21%
36°C
$10,678 Vol.
63%
37°C
$4,602 Vol.
15%
38°C
$2,653 Vol.
4%
39°C
$1,498 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$1,882 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$1,330 Vol.
<1%
42°C oder höher
$1,570 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS, along with official outlooks from Spain’s AEMET and sources such as the UK Met Office, place Madrid’s July 10 maximum in the mid-30s Celsius, with ensemble spreads centering near 36–37 °C.** A persistent subtropical ridge supports strong subsidence warming and clear skies, while weak Atlantic flow limits stronger cooling; however, small differences in the timing or strength of any short-wave trough or increased boundary-layer moisture can trim the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical July averages near 32–35 °C provide context, yet current conditions favor an above-normal outcome. Trader positioning remains tight between 35 °C and 37 °C precisely because the latest model runs show overlapping solutions within that narrow window, with resolution depending on the final 48-hour forecast updates from global and regional ensembles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volumen
$35,813Enddatum
10. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS, along with official outlooks from Spain’s AEMET and sources such as the UK Met Office, place Madrid’s July 10 maximum in the mid-30s Celsius, with ensemble spreads centering near 36–37 °C.** A persistent subtropical ridge supports strong subsidence warming and clear skies, while weak Atlantic flow limits stronger cooling; however, small differences in the timing or strength of any short-wave trough or increased boundary-layer moisture can trim the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical July averages near 32–35 °C provide context, yet current conditions favor an above-normal outcome. Trader positioning remains tight between 35 °C and 37 °C precisely because the latest model runs show overlapping solutions within that narrow window, with resolution depending on the final 48-hour forecast updates from global and regional ensembles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$35,813Enddatum
10. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS, along with official outlooks from Spain’s AEMET and sources such as the UK Met Office, place Madrid’s July 10 maximum in the mid-30s Celsius, with ensemble spreads centering near 36–37 °C.** A persistent subtropical ridge supports strong subsidence warming and clear skies, while weak Atlantic flow limits stronger cooling; however, small differences in the timing or strength of any short-wave trough or increased boundary-layer moisture can trim the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical July averages near 32–35 °C provide context, yet current conditions favor an above-normal outcome. Trader positioning remains tight between 35 °C and 37 °C precisely because the latest model runs show overlapping solutions within that narrow window, with resolution depending on the final 48-hour forecast updates from global and regional ensembles.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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