PAGASA's latest outlook for July 10 points to a 30°C high in Manila amid widespread cloud cover and a 100% chance of rain tied to the Southwest Monsoon, moderating daytime heating below the typical July average near 31°C. Persistent easterly or monsoon flows promote convective activity that limits solar insolation and caps maxima, while any brief clearing or reduced rainfall could allow temperatures to reach 31°C. With outcomes clustered tightly around 30–31°C, traders weigh short-term model runs and monsoon intensity against historical variability in peak readings measured at official stations. Updated PAGASA briefings and refined numerical weather predictions through July 9 will likely refine these probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Manila am 10. Juli?
31°C 43%
30°C 29%
32°C 25%
33°C 2.1%
$20,468 Vol.
$20,468 Vol.
25°C oder weniger
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
29%
31°C
43%
32°C
25%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C oder höher
<1%
31°C 43%
30°C 29%
32°C 25%
33°C 2.1%
$20,468 Vol.
$20,468 Vol.
25°C oder weniger
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
29%
31°C
43%
32°C
25%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA's latest outlook for July 10 points to a 30°C high in Manila amid widespread cloud cover and a 100% chance of rain tied to the Southwest Monsoon, moderating daytime heating below the typical July average near 31°C. Persistent easterly or monsoon flows promote convective activity that limits solar insolation and caps maxima, while any brief clearing or reduced rainfall could allow temperatures to reach 31°C. With outcomes clustered tightly around 30–31°C, traders weigh short-term model runs and monsoon intensity against historical variability in peak readings measured at official stations. Updated PAGASA briefings and refined numerical weather predictions through July 9 will likely refine these probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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