Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting models highlight widespread showers and thunderstorms likely across Miami on September 23, with 60-90% precipitation chances and south winds around 5 mph. These conditions, typical of South Florida's late-September rainy season, increase cloud cover and evaporative cooling that cap daytime heating, favoring highs in the mid-80s over the upper 80s. The tight market-implied odds—36% for 86-87°F, 34.5% for 84-85°F, and 26.5% for 88-89°F—reflect trader consensus on this storm-driven moderation, with genuine uncertainty around exact timing and rainfall intensity that could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two. Updated model runs and NWS briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Miami am 23. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Miami am 23. September?
86-87°F 36%
84-85°F 35%
88-89°F 27%
94°F oder höher 9%
NEU
NEU
23. Sep. 2026
75°F oder darunter
3%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
35%
86-87°F
36%
88-89°F
27%
90-91°F
5%
92-93 °F
5%
94°F oder höher
9%
86-87°F 36%
84-85°F 35%
88-89°F 27%
94°F oder höher 9%
NEU
NEU
23. Sep. 2026
75°F oder darunter
$0 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
3%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
4%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
5%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
8%
84-85°F
$31 Vol.
35%
86-87°F
$217 Vol.
36%
88-89°F
$492 Vol.
27%
90-91°F
$7 Vol.
5%
92-93 °F
$0 Vol.
5%
94°F oder höher
$0 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting models highlight widespread showers and thunderstorms likely across Miami on September 23, with 60-90% precipitation chances and south winds around 5 mph. These conditions, typical of South Florida's late-September rainy season, increase cloud cover and evaporative cooling that cap daytime heating, favoring highs in the mid-80s over the upper 80s. The tight market-implied odds—36% for 86-87°F, 34.5% for 84-85°F, and 26.5% for 88-89°F—reflect trader consensus on this storm-driven moderation, with genuine uncertainty around exact timing and rainfall intensity that could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two. Updated model runs and NWS briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 21, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volumen
$748Enddatum
23. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 21, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting models highlight widespread showers and thunderstorms likely across Miami on September 23, with 60-90% precipitation chances and south winds around 5 mph. These conditions, typical of South Florida's late-September rainy season, increase cloud cover and evaporative cooling that cap daytime heating, favoring highs in the mid-80s over the upper 80s. The tight market-implied odds—36% for 86-87°F, 34.5% for 84-85°F, and 26.5% for 88-89°F—reflect trader consensus on this storm-driven moderation, with genuine uncertainty around exact timing and rainfall intensity that could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two. Updated model runs and NWS briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$748Enddatum
23. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 21, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting models highlight widespread showers and thunderstorms likely across Miami on September 23, with 60-90% precipitation chances and south winds around 5 mph. These conditions, typical of South Florida's late-September rainy season, increase cloud cover and evaporative cooling that cap daytime heating, favoring highs in the mid-80s over the upper 80s. The tight market-implied odds—36% for 86-87°F, 34.5% for 84-85°F, and 26.5% for 88-89°F—reflect trader consensus on this storm-driven moderation, with genuine uncertainty around exact timing and rainfall intensity that could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two. Updated model runs and NWS briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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