Recent forecasts from models like those referenced by European and U.S. agencies point to a cooler-than-average airmass over Moscow for July 5, 2026, with expected highs clustered around 17–21°C amid light rain or increased cloud cover. This stems from transient high-pressure ridging and northerly flow suppressing peak solar heating and limiting warm advection from southern latitudes. July climatology favors ~23–24°C maxima, yet current steering patterns and surface conditions differentiate the tight 20–22°C market bins: modest variations in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any clearing could shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these short-range uncertainties heavily given the two-day horizon and limited model spread.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Moscow on July 5?
Highest temperature in Moscow on July 5?
21°C 33.0%
20°C 25%
19°C 14%
22°C 9.1%
NEU
NEU
5. Juli 2026
17°C or below
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
14%
20°C
25%
21°C
33%
22°C
9%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 33.0%
20°C 25%
19°C 14%
22°C 9.1%
NEU
NEU
5. Juli 2026
17°C or below
$781 Vol.
2%
18°C
$383 Vol.
4%
19°C
$667 Vol.
14%
20°C
$779 Vol.
25%
21°C
$950 Vol.
33%
22°C
$412 Vol.
9%
23°C
$324 Vol.
2%
24°C
$494 Vol.
1%
25°C
$358 Vol.
1%
26°C
$413 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$236 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models like those referenced by European and U.S. agencies point to a cooler-than-average airmass over Moscow for July 5, 2026, with expected highs clustered around 17–21°C amid light rain or increased cloud cover. This stems from transient high-pressure ridging and northerly flow suppressing peak solar heating and limiting warm advection from southern latitudes. July climatology favors ~23–24°C maxima, yet current steering patterns and surface conditions differentiate the tight 20–22°C market bins: modest variations in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any clearing could shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these short-range uncertainties heavily given the two-day horizon and limited model spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$5,783Enddatum
5. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models like those referenced by European and U.S. agencies point to a cooler-than-average airmass over Moscow for July 5, 2026, with expected highs clustered around 17–21°C amid light rain or increased cloud cover. This stems from transient high-pressure ridging and northerly flow suppressing peak solar heating and limiting warm advection from southern latitudes. July climatology favors ~23–24°C maxima, yet current steering patterns and surface conditions differentiate the tight 20–22°C market bins: modest variations in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any clearing could shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these short-range uncertainties heavily given the two-day horizon and limited model spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,783Enddatum
5. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models like those referenced by European and U.S. agencies point to a cooler-than-average airmass over Moscow for July 5, 2026, with expected highs clustered around 17–21°C amid light rain or increased cloud cover. This stems from transient high-pressure ridging and northerly flow suppressing peak solar heating and limiting warm advection from southern latitudes. July climatology favors ~23–24°C maxima, yet current steering patterns and surface conditions differentiate the tight 20–22°C market bins: modest variations in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any clearing could shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these short-range uncertainties heavily given the two-day horizon and limited model spread.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen