Current short-range guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicates daytime maxima of 31–35°C for Taipei on July 16, consistent with typical mid-July climatology of hot, humid conditions and afternoon convective activity. Market dispersion across 34–38°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in cloud cover, shower timing, and urban heat retention that can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Stronger insolation and lighter winds favor the upper end of the distribution, while increased thunderstorm development or monsoon moisture could cap temperatures nearer 34–35°C. Updated model runs and CWA briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Taipeh am 16. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Taipeh am 16. Juli?
36°C 40%
35°C 26%
37°C 18.5%
34°C 10%
NEU
NEU
16. Juli 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
10%
35°C
26%
36°C
40%
37°C
19%
38°C or higher
4%
36°C 40%
35°C 26%
37°C 18.5%
34°C 10%
NEU
NEU
16. Juli 2026
28°C or below
$365 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$75 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$151 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$242 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$302 Vol.
1%
33°C
$505 Vol.
2%
34°C
$331 Vol.
10%
35°C
$703 Vol.
26%
36°C
$413 Vol.
40%
37°C
$427 Vol.
19%
38°C or higher
$457 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicates daytime maxima of 31–35°C for Taipei on July 16, consistent with typical mid-July climatology of hot, humid conditions and afternoon convective activity. Market dispersion across 34–38°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in cloud cover, shower timing, and urban heat retention that can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Stronger insolation and lighter winds favor the upper end of the distribution, while increased thunderstorm development or monsoon moisture could cap temperatures nearer 34–35°C. Updated model runs and CWA briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$3,971Enddatum
16. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicates daytime maxima of 31–35°C for Taipei on July 16, consistent with typical mid-July climatology of hot, humid conditions and afternoon convective activity. Market dispersion across 34–38°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in cloud cover, shower timing, and urban heat retention that can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Stronger insolation and lighter winds favor the upper end of the distribution, while increased thunderstorm development or monsoon moisture could cap temperatures nearer 34–35°C. Updated model runs and CWA briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,971Enddatum
16. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicates daytime maxima of 31–35°C for Taipei on July 16, consistent with typical mid-July climatology of hot, humid conditions and afternoon convective activity. Market dispersion across 34–38°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in cloud cover, shower timing, and urban heat retention that can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Stronger insolation and lighter winds favor the upper end of the distribution, while increased thunderstorm development or monsoon moisture could cap temperatures nearer 34–35°C. Updated model runs and CWA briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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