Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF supports a maximum temperature of 29–30°C in Tel Aviv on September 23 under stable high-pressure conditions, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy to clear skies with minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for 30°C and 31°C, reflecting typical late-September Mediterranean patterns where daytime highs average near 30°C but can vary by 1–2°C due to local urban effects or minor model differences. Recent cooling from mid-month peaks above 33°C has reinforced trader positioning around these thresholds ahead of final observational data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 23. September?
30°C 57%
31°C 38%
29°C 5%
32°C 4%
26°C oder weniger
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
5%
30°C
57%
31°C
38%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C oder höher
<1%
30°C 57%
31°C 38%
29°C 5%
32°C 4%
26°C oder weniger
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
5%
30°C
57%
31°C
38%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF supports a maximum temperature of 29–30°C in Tel Aviv on September 23 under stable high-pressure conditions, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy to clear skies with minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for 30°C and 31°C, reflecting typical late-September Mediterranean patterns where daytime highs average near 30°C but can vary by 1–2°C due to local urban effects or minor model differences. Recent cooling from mid-month peaks above 33°C has reinforced trader positioning around these thresholds ahead of final observational data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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