Current forecasts from meteorological agencies place Wuhan's June 18 high near 29–31°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate easterly flow and typical early-summer humidity. Model spreads in short-range guidance—particularly differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing—create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29°C and 30°C (both 26.5%), with 31°C close behind. Recent surface observations and the latest model runs show no strong anomalous warming or cooling signals, keeping extreme outcomes below 10% implied probability. Traders weigh the narrow uncertainty band against historical June maxima near 30°C and the single-day resolution window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wuhan am 18. Juni?
30°C 27%
29°C 26%
31°C 20%
32°C 8%
$39,457 Vol.
$39,457 Vol.
27°C oder darunter
<1%
28°C
8%
29°C
26%
30°C
27%
31°C
20%
32°C
8%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C oder höher
<1%
30°C 27%
29°C 26%
31°C 20%
32°C 8%
$39,457 Vol.
$39,457 Vol.
27°C oder darunter
<1%
28°C
8%
29°C
26%
30°C
27%
31°C
20%
32°C
8%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological agencies place Wuhan's June 18 high near 29–31°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate easterly flow and typical early-summer humidity. Model spreads in short-range guidance—particularly differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing—create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29°C and 30°C (both 26.5%), with 31°C close behind. Recent surface observations and the latest model runs show no strong anomalous warming or cooling signals, keeping extreme outcomes below 10% implied probability. Traders weigh the narrow uncertainty band against historical June maxima near 30°C and the single-day resolution window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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