Recent polls conducted after candidate lists were finalized in early September show Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, projected at 22–25 Knesset seats, or roughly 18–21% of the vote. Support has fluctuated with the opposition bloc’s overall strength, small-party threshold crossings, and competition from B’Yachad and other centrist lists. Traders price the leading ranges near 18–24% because ongoing shifts in undecided voters, turnout among security-focused blocs, and potential last-minute alliances continue to move individual surveys within a narrow band. The October 27 election date and final campaign period leave room for modest adjustments before votes are cast.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertIsrael-Wahl: Yashar-Stimmenanteil?
18-20% 34%
<16 % 33%
24 %+ 32%
20-22% 32%
<16 %
33%
16-18%
25%
18-20%
34%
20-22%
32%
22-24%
27%
24 %+
32%
18-20% 34%
<16 % 33%
24 %+ 32%
20-22% 32%
<16 %
33%
16-18%
25%
18-20%
34%
20-22%
32%
22-24%
27%
24 %+
32%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 4:16 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls conducted after candidate lists were finalized in early September show Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, projected at 22–25 Knesset seats, or roughly 18–21% of the vote. Support has fluctuated with the opposition bloc’s overall strength, small-party threshold crossings, and competition from B’Yachad and other centrist lists. Traders price the leading ranges near 18–24% because ongoing shifts in undecided voters, turnout among security-focused blocs, and potential last-minute alliances continue to move individual surveys within a narrow band. The October 27 election date and final campaign period leave room for modest adjustments before votes are cast.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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