Following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s assassination in a February 2026 U.S.-Israeli strike, the official @khamenei_ir account shifted to memorial status and began issuing only archival statements at a sharply reduced pace. Activity remained minimal through early May, with no posts recorded in the first four days of the current May 12–19 window, extending a post-May 5 lull after limited early-month shares. Traders view this pattern as structural rather than temporary, reflecting lower operational priority for the legacy platform once succession to Mojtaba Khamenei was complete. Absent major commemorative triggers, the account’s posting frequency has historically stayed well below five items per week in comparable quiet periods, anchoring the strong consensus on the lowest outcome bin.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertKhamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?
Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?
<5 74%
5-9 10%
15-19 2.3%
10-14 2.1%
$10,334 Vol.
$10,334 Vol.
19. Mai 2026
<5
83%
5-9
10%
10-14
2%
15-19
2%
20-24
1%
25-29
1%
30-34
1%
35-39
<1%
40-44
<1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
<5 74%
5-9 10%
15-19 2.3%
10-14 2.1%
$10,334 Vol.
$10,334 Vol.
19. Mai 2026
<5
$1,912 Vol.
83%
5-9
$1,760 Vol.
10%
10-14
$587 Vol.
2%
15-19
$1,123 Vol.
2%
20-24
$806 Vol.
1%
25-29
$401 Vol.
1%
30-34
$458 Vol.
1%
35-39
$443 Vol.
<1%
40-44
$596 Vol.
<1%
45-49
$484 Vol.
1%
50-54
$489 Vol.
1%
55-59
$609 Vol.
<1%
60+
$666 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s assassination in a February 2026 U.S.-Israeli strike, the official @khamenei_ir account shifted to memorial status and began issuing only archival statements at a sharply reduced pace. Activity remained minimal through early May, with no posts recorded in the first four days of the current May 12–19 window, extending a post-May 5 lull after limited early-month shares. Traders view this pattern as structural rather than temporary, reflecting lower operational priority for the legacy platform once succession to Mojtaba Khamenei was complete. Absent major commemorative triggers, the account’s posting frequency has historically stayed well below five items per week in comparable quiet periods, anchoring the strong consensus on the lowest outcome bin.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ET
Volumen
$10,334Enddatum
19. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s assassination in a February 2026 U.S.-Israeli strike, the official @khamenei_ir account shifted to memorial status and began issuing only archival statements at a sharply reduced pace. Activity remained minimal through early May, with no posts recorded in the first four days of the current May 12–19 window, extending a post-May 5 lull after limited early-month shares. Traders view this pattern as structural rather than temporary, reflecting lower operational priority for the legacy platform once succession to Mojtaba Khamenei was complete. Absent major commemorative triggers, the account’s posting frequency has historically stayed well below five items per week in comparable quiet periods, anchoring the strong consensus on the lowest outcome bin.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$10,334Enddatum
19. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s assassination in a February 2026 U.S.-Israeli strike, the official @khamenei_ir account shifted to memorial status and began issuing only archival statements at a sharply reduced pace. Activity remained minimal through early May, with no posts recorded in the first four days of the current May 12–19 window, extending a post-May 5 lull after limited early-month shares. Traders view this pattern as structural rather than temporary, reflecting lower operational priority for the legacy platform once succession to Mojtaba Khamenei was complete. Absent major commemorative triggers, the account’s posting frequency has historically stayed well below five items per week in comparable quiet periods, anchoring the strong consensus on the lowest outcome bin.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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