Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center of China and international ensembles project clear skies and light northeast-to-north winds over Qingdao on September 6, supporting overnight radiational cooling moderated by the Yellow Sea's thermal influence. This setup favors a minimum near 20–23 °C, consistent with early-September climatology. Trader sentiment splits between the 26 °C-or-higher and 16 °C-or-below brackets because small variations in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind shift timing, or model resolution of urban heat-island effects can shift the recorded low by 2–4 °C. With resolution imminent, fresh 00 UTC and 12 UTC runs plus local station observations will determine whether the outcome clusters near the 20–21 °C range or deviates toward the tails priced by the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Qingdao am 6. September?
26°C oder höher 93%
16°C oder weniger 90%
21°C 49%
23°C 49%
16°C oder weniger
90%
17°C
26%
18°C
38%
19°C
29%
20°C
25%
21°C
49%
22°C
4%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C oder höher
93%
26°C oder höher 93%
16°C oder weniger 90%
21°C 49%
23°C 49%
16°C oder weniger
90%
17°C
26%
18°C
38%
19°C
29%
20°C
25%
21°C
49%
22°C
4%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C oder höher
93%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center of China and international ensembles project clear skies and light northeast-to-north winds over Qingdao on September 6, supporting overnight radiational cooling moderated by the Yellow Sea's thermal influence. This setup favors a minimum near 20–23 °C, consistent with early-September climatology. Trader sentiment splits between the 26 °C-or-higher and 16 °C-or-below brackets because small variations in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind shift timing, or model resolution of urban heat-island effects can shift the recorded low by 2–4 °C. With resolution imminent, fresh 00 UTC and 12 UTC runs plus local station observations will determine whether the outcome clusters near the 20–21 °C range or deviates toward the tails priced by the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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