Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Seoul's official weather station confirm the daily minimum temperature on May 15 reached exactly 15°C during early morning hours, propelling trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as diurnal warming under clear skies and light easterly winds prevented further drops. This aligns with mid-May climatological norms, where Seoul's average lows fall between 13°C and 16°C based on decades of KMA records, amid a high-pressure ridge fostering stable conditions. While final KMA daily summaries could theoretically revise automated readings with manual quality checks—such as if overlooked pre-dawn data emerges—such adjustments are exceedingly rare once the full 24-hour period elapses. Traders await the official report for resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Seoul am 15. Mai?
15°C 100.0%
11°C oder niedriger <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$23,687 Vol.
$23,687 Vol.
11°C oder niedriger
Nein
12°C
Nein
13°C
Nein
14°C
Nein
15°C
Ja
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C oder höher
Nein
15°C 100.0%
11°C oder niedriger <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$23,687 Vol.
$23,687 Vol.
11°C oder niedriger
Nein
12°C
Nein
13°C
Nein
14°C
Nein
15°C
Ja
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Seoul's official weather station confirm the daily minimum temperature on May 15 reached exactly 15°C during early morning hours, propelling trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as diurnal warming under clear skies and light easterly winds prevented further drops. This aligns with mid-May climatological norms, where Seoul's average lows fall between 13°C and 16°C based on decades of KMA records, amid a high-pressure ridge fostering stable conditions. While final KMA daily summaries could theoretically revise automated readings with manual quality checks—such as if overlooked pre-dawn data emerges—such adjustments are exceedingly rare once the full 24-hour period elapses. Traders await the official report for resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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