Latest Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts place Seoul’s May 17 maximum near 24–25 °C following southerly warm advection beneath a high-pressure ridge. Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probabilities to the 26 °C or higher bucket at 38.5 % and 25 °C at 29.5 %, with 24 °C close behind, reflecting modest uncertainty in how quickly an approaching trough arrives and how much afternoon cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing will suppress the peak. These factors can readily shift the observed high by 1–2 °C in either direction, consistent with the tightly clustered market prices. Official resolution will occur at the Incheon International Airport station shortly after local sunset on May 17.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seoul am 17. Mai?
26°C or higher 35%
25°C 30%
24°C 25%
23°C 14%
$81,469 Vol.
$81,469 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
14%
24°C
25%
25°C
30%
26°C or higher
35%
26°C or higher 35%
25°C 30%
24°C 25%
23°C 14%
$81,469 Vol.
$81,469 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
14%
24°C
25%
25°C
30%
26°C or higher
35%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSILatest Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts place Seoul’s May 17 maximum near 24–25 °C following southerly warm advection beneath a high-pressure ridge. Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probabilities to the 26 °C or higher bucket at 38.5 % and 25 °C at 29.5 %, with 24 °C close behind, reflecting modest uncertainty in how quickly an approaching trough arrives and how much afternoon cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing will suppress the peak. These factors can readily shift the observed high by 1–2 °C in either direction, consistent with the tightly clustered market prices. Official resolution will occur at the Incheon International Airport station shortly after local sunset on May 17.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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