Official forecasts from Météo-France and European model consensus indicate a maximum temperature of 16°C in Paris on May 16, driving the near-certain market-implied odds. Stable high-pressure conditions and northerly flow have kept daytime readings suppressed, aligning closely with seasonal norms for mid-May. Minor model disagreements exist on exact peak timing but remain within the 15–17°C range, leaving little room for upward revision. The primary resolution risk lies in post-forecast observational adjustments by official stations, though current data trends make any shift to 17°C or higher highly improbable before the daily close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Paris am 16. Mai?
16°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$155,191 Vol.
$155,191 Vol.
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C oder höher
<1%
16°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$155,191 Vol.
$155,191 Vol.
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
Official forecasts from Météo-France and European model consensus indicate a maximum temperature of 16°C in Paris on May 16, driving the near-certain market-implied odds. Stable high-pressure conditions and northerly flow have kept daytime readings suppressed, aligning closely with seasonal norms for mid-May. Minor model disagreements exist on exact peak timing but remain within the 15–17°C range, leaving little room for upward revision. The primary resolution risk lies in post-forecast observational adjustments by official stations, though current data trends make any shift to 17°C or higher highly improbable before the daily close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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