Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 21°C in Ankara on May 16 at 38.5% implied probability, reflecting the latest forecast consensus from meteorological models and services like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com, which project highs of 21–22°C under mostly sunny skies with light winds. This follows May 15's cooler high around 17–18°C amid drizzle and overcast conditions at Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's resolution source—marking a brief departure from mid-May climatological norms of 21–22°C averages amid a cooler-than-normal May 2026 (monthly mean 12.5°C vs. 16.5°C). Clearing high-pressure systems and low precipitation odds (0–4%) support mild warming, though short-term cloud variability or evening observations could shift outcomes; updated model runs from ECMWF and GFS expected overnight.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Ankara on May 16?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 16?
21°C 38%
22°C 21%
20°C 18%
19°C 8%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
8%
20°C
18%
21°C
38%
22°C
21%
23°C
5%
24°C or higher
1%
21°C 38%
22°C 21%
20°C 18%
19°C 8%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
8%
20°C
18%
21°C
38%
22°C
21%
23°C
5%
24°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 21°C in Ankara on May 16 at 38.5% implied probability, reflecting the latest forecast consensus from meteorological models and services like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com, which project highs of 21–22°C under mostly sunny skies with light winds. This follows May 15's cooler high around 17–18°C amid drizzle and overcast conditions at Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's resolution source—marking a brief departure from mid-May climatological norms of 21–22°C averages amid a cooler-than-normal May 2026 (monthly mean 12.5°C vs. 16.5°C). Clearing high-pressure systems and low precipitation odds (0–4%) support mild warming, though short-term cloud variability or evening observations could shift outcomes; updated model runs from ECMWF and GFS expected overnight.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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