Current forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a strong likelihood of peak temperatures reaching 86°F or higher in Houston on May 17, driven by persistent southerly flow from the Gulf of Mexico delivering warm, moist air masses combined with minimal cloud cover and light winds. This setup aligns with May climatological baselines, where average daily highs hover near 85°F, and recent regional observations show a sustained warming pattern without significant cold frontal intrusions. Ensemble guidance from the Global Forecast System reinforces these outcomes, with market-implied odds reflecting trader assessment of official readings at Bush Intercontinental Airport. New model runs expected in the coming 48 hours will provide the next key data point for refining intensity projections.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Houston am 17. Mai?
Höchste Temperatur in Houston am 17. Mai?
86°F or higher 88.5%
84-85°F 6%
82-83°F 3.6%
80-81°F <1%
NEU
NEU
17. Mai 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
6%
86°F or higher
89%
86°F or higher 88.5%
84-85°F 6%
82-83°F 3.6%
80-81°F <1%
NEU
NEU
17. Mai 2026
67°F or below
$361 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$1,048 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$2,678 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$366 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$340 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$230 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$47 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$313 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$103 Vol.
4%
84-85°F
$339 Vol.
6%
86°F or higher
$231 Vol.
89%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a strong likelihood of peak temperatures reaching 86°F or higher in Houston on May 17, driven by persistent southerly flow from the Gulf of Mexico delivering warm, moist air masses combined with minimal cloud cover and light winds. This setup aligns with May climatological baselines, where average daily highs hover near 85°F, and recent regional observations show a sustained warming pattern without significant cold frontal intrusions. Ensemble guidance from the Global Forecast System reinforces these outcomes, with market-implied odds reflecting trader assessment of official readings at Bush Intercontinental Airport. New model runs expected in the coming 48 hours will provide the next key data point for refining intensity projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$6,056Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a strong likelihood of peak temperatures reaching 86°F or higher in Houston on May 17, driven by persistent southerly flow from the Gulf of Mexico delivering warm, moist air masses combined with minimal cloud cover and light winds. This setup aligns with May climatological baselines, where average daily highs hover near 85°F, and recent regional observations show a sustained warming pattern without significant cold frontal intrusions. Ensemble guidance from the Global Forecast System reinforces these outcomes, with market-implied odds reflecting trader assessment of official readings at Bush Intercontinental Airport. New model runs expected in the coming 48 hours will provide the next key data point for refining intensity projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$6,056Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUCurrent forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a strong likelihood of peak temperatures reaching 86°F or higher in Houston on May 17, driven by persistent southerly flow from the Gulf of Mexico delivering warm, moist air masses combined with minimal cloud cover and light winds. This setup aligns with May climatological baselines, where average daily highs hover near 85°F, and recent regional observations show a sustained warming pattern without significant cold frontal intrusions. Ensemble guidance from the Global Forecast System reinforces these outcomes, with market-implied odds reflecting trader assessment of official readings at Bush Intercontinental Airport. New model runs expected in the coming 48 hours will provide the next key data point for refining intensity projections.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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