Recent ECMWF and KNMI model guidance shows persistent northwesterly flow advecting cool maritime air across the Netherlands, with widespread cloud cover and scattered showers expected to limit solar heating and cap the daily maximum near 14–15°C in Amsterdam on May 17. This setup deviates from the mid-May climatological average of 16–18°C and explains why traders have assigned the highest implied probabilities to the 14°C (40.5%) and 15°C (25.5%) outcomes, followed closely by 13°C (19.5%). Ensemble spreads remain modest around afternoon sunshine duration, while early morning observations near 8–10°C align with these projections. Updated hourly data from Schiphol and the next model cycle will clarify whether brief clearing could push the peak slightly higher.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 17. Mai?
Höchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 17. Mai?
14°C 41%
15°C 27%
13°C 19%
16°C 7.6%
NEU
NEU
17. Mai 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
19%
14°C
41%
15°C
27%
16°C
8%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
14°C 41%
15°C 27%
13°C 19%
16°C 7.6%
NEU
NEU
17. Mai 2026
10°C or below
$1,548 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$717 Vol.
1%
12°C
$478 Vol.
2%
13°C
$1,233 Vol.
19%
14°C
$923 Vol.
41%
15°C
$695 Vol.
27%
16°C
$671 Vol.
8%
17°C
$754 Vol.
1%
18°C
$389 Vol.
1%
19°C
$467 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$209 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ECMWF and KNMI model guidance shows persistent northwesterly flow advecting cool maritime air across the Netherlands, with widespread cloud cover and scattered showers expected to limit solar heating and cap the daily maximum near 14–15°C in Amsterdam on May 17. This setup deviates from the mid-May climatological average of 16–18°C and explains why traders have assigned the highest implied probabilities to the 14°C (40.5%) and 15°C (25.5%) outcomes, followed closely by 13°C (19.5%). Ensemble spreads remain modest around afternoon sunshine duration, while early morning observations near 8–10°C align with these projections. Updated hourly data from Schiphol and the next model cycle will clarify whether brief clearing could push the peak slightly higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$8,083Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ECMWF and KNMI model guidance shows persistent northwesterly flow advecting cool maritime air across the Netherlands, with widespread cloud cover and scattered showers expected to limit solar heating and cap the daily maximum near 14–15°C in Amsterdam on May 17. This setup deviates from the mid-May climatological average of 16–18°C and explains why traders have assigned the highest implied probabilities to the 14°C (40.5%) and 15°C (25.5%) outcomes, followed closely by 13°C (19.5%). Ensemble spreads remain modest around afternoon sunshine duration, while early morning observations near 8–10°C align with these projections. Updated hourly data from Schiphol and the next model cycle will clarify whether brief clearing could push the peak slightly higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$8,083Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMRecent ECMWF and KNMI model guidance shows persistent northwesterly flow advecting cool maritime air across the Netherlands, with widespread cloud cover and scattered showers expected to limit solar heating and cap the daily maximum near 14–15°C in Amsterdam on May 17. This setup deviates from the mid-May climatological average of 16–18°C and explains why traders have assigned the highest implied probabilities to the 14°C (40.5%) and 15°C (25.5%) outcomes, followed closely by 13°C (19.5%). Ensemble spreads remain modest around afternoon sunshine duration, while early morning observations near 8–10°C align with these projections. Updated hourly data from Schiphol and the next model cycle will clarify whether brief clearing could push the peak slightly higher.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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