Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance for May 12–18 highlights anti-cyclonic circulation over Sindh that favors hot, humid conditions in Karachi, with official maxima projected in the 30–33°C range amid moderating southerly sea breezes from the Arabian Sea. This setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–36°C, as stronger onshore flow could cap peaks near 34°C while weaker breezes and residual continental heating allow brief excursions to 36°C or higher. AccuWeather ensemble runs show a broader 33–38°C envelope, underscoring sensitivity to boundary-layer moisture and wind shifts. Final resolution rests on verified PMD surface observations at stations such as Masroor Airbase, with any late-model adjustments likely to shift sentiment before the 18th.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Karatschi am 18. Mai?
Höchste Temperatur in Karatschi am 18. Mai?
36°C oder höher 32%
35°C 29%
34°C 27%
33°C 8%
NEU
NEU
18. Mai 2026
26°C oder darunter
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
8%
34°C
27%
35°C
26%
36°C oder höher
32%
36°C oder höher 32%
35°C 29%
34°C 27%
33°C 8%
NEU
NEU
18. Mai 2026
26°C oder darunter
$646 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,443 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,280 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$577 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$123 Vol.
1%
31°C
$220 Vol.
1%
32°C
$288 Vol.
3%
33°C
$49 Vol.
8%
34°C
$10 Vol.
27%
35°C
$6 Vol.
26%
36°C oder höher
$15 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance for May 12–18 highlights anti-cyclonic circulation over Sindh that favors hot, humid conditions in Karachi, with official maxima projected in the 30–33°C range amid moderating southerly sea breezes from the Arabian Sea. This setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–36°C, as stronger onshore flow could cap peaks near 34°C while weaker breezes and residual continental heating allow brief excursions to 36°C or higher. AccuWeather ensemble runs show a broader 33–38°C envelope, underscoring sensitivity to boundary-layer moisture and wind shifts. Final resolution rests on verified PMD surface observations at stations such as Masroor Airbase, with any late-model adjustments likely to shift sentiment before the 18th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$4,658Enddatum
18. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance for May 12–18 highlights anti-cyclonic circulation over Sindh that favors hot, humid conditions in Karachi, with official maxima projected in the 30–33°C range amid moderating southerly sea breezes from the Arabian Sea. This setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–36°C, as stronger onshore flow could cap peaks near 34°C while weaker breezes and residual continental heating allow brief excursions to 36°C or higher. AccuWeather ensemble runs show a broader 33–38°C envelope, underscoring sensitivity to boundary-layer moisture and wind shifts. Final resolution rests on verified PMD surface observations at stations such as Masroor Airbase, with any late-model adjustments likely to shift sentiment before the 18th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$4,658Enddatum
18. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCRecent Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance for May 12–18 highlights anti-cyclonic circulation over Sindh that favors hot, humid conditions in Karachi, with official maxima projected in the 30–33°C range amid moderating southerly sea breezes from the Arabian Sea. This setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–36°C, as stronger onshore flow could cap peaks near 34°C while weaker breezes and residual continental heating allow brief excursions to 36°C or higher. AccuWeather ensemble runs show a broader 33–38°C envelope, underscoring sensitivity to boundary-layer moisture and wind shifts. Final resolution rests on verified PMD surface observations at stations such as Masroor Airbase, with any late-model adjustments likely to shift sentiment before the 18th.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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