Recent ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS models point to a modest daytime peak of 14–15 °C at Amsterdam Schiphol on 18 May under a mix of broken stratocumulus and light southwesterly flow. Persistent cool northerly advection off the North Sea, combined with scattered showers and limited insolation, has kept readings 2–3 °C below the May climatological average of 16–18 °C. Resolution hinges on afternoon cloud breaks that could allow brief warming to 16 °C or prolonged low-level moisture that caps the maximum at 13 °C. KNMI hourly observations and the next model update cycle remain the key near-term catalysts traders are monitoring.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 18. Mai?
14°C 23%
15°C 23%
16°C 17%
13°C 15%
8°C or below
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
3%
12°C
6%
13°C
15%
14°C
23%
15°C
23%
16°C
17%
17°C
11%
18°C or higher
2%
14°C 23%
15°C 23%
16°C 17%
13°C 15%
8°C or below
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
3%
12°C
6%
13°C
15%
14°C
23%
15°C
23%
16°C
17%
17°C
11%
18°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMRecent ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS models point to a modest daytime peak of 14–15 °C at Amsterdam Schiphol on 18 May under a mix of broken stratocumulus and light southwesterly flow. Persistent cool northerly advection off the North Sea, combined with scattered showers and limited insolation, has kept readings 2–3 °C below the May climatological average of 16–18 °C. Resolution hinges on afternoon cloud breaks that could allow brief warming to 16 °C or prolonged low-level moisture that caps the maximum at 13 °C. KNMI hourly observations and the next model update cycle remain the key near-term catalysts traders are monitoring.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen