Current forecast models from KNMI and ECMWF ensembles cluster tightly around a 12–14 °C maximum in Amsterdam today, with 13 °C emerging as the modal outcome amid persistent northwest winds and a cool maritime air mass. Variable showers and extensive cloud cover continue to suppress solar heating, keeping observed temperatures near 10 °C through mid-morning and limiting afternoon peaks well below the May climatological average of 16 °C. Ensemble spreads show modest divergence on possible sunshine breaks, but steering patterns favor continued subdued conditions rather than rapid warming. Hourly official observations at Schiphol will determine final resolution, with any late-day clearing representing the main variable that could shift the narrow probability band between 12 °C and 14 °C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 16?
13°C 50%
12°C 22%
14°C 21%
15°C 7.0%
$15,379 Vol.
$15,379 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
22%
13°C
50%
14°C
21%
15°C
7%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 50%
12°C 22%
14°C 21%
15°C 7.0%
$15,379 Vol.
$15,379 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
22%
13°C
50%
14°C
21%
15°C
7%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 14, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from KNMI and ECMWF ensembles cluster tightly around a 12–14 °C maximum in Amsterdam today, with 13 °C emerging as the modal outcome amid persistent northwest winds and a cool maritime air mass. Variable showers and extensive cloud cover continue to suppress solar heating, keeping observed temperatures near 10 °C through mid-morning and limiting afternoon peaks well below the May climatological average of 16 °C. Ensemble spreads show modest divergence on possible sunshine breaks, but steering patterns favor continued subdued conditions rather than rapid warming. Hourly official observations at Schiphol will determine final resolution, with any late-day clearing representing the main variable that could shift the narrow probability band between 12 °C and 14 °C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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