Official meteorological observations from Météo-France recorded a daily maximum temperature of 13°C in Paris on May 15, locking in the market's overwhelming consensus. Cool northwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover limited daytime heating across northern France, preventing any exceedance of that threshold. This outcome sits well below the mid-May climatological average of 18–20°C, driven by a transient high-pressure system that favored stable rather than warming conditions. With the 24-hour observation window now closed and data verified, remaining uncertainty centers only on minor post-processing adjustments that rarely exceed 0.5°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Paris am 15. Mai?
13°C 100.0%
9°C oder weniger <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$138,332 Vol.
$138,332 Vol.
9°C oder weniger
Nein
10°C
Nein
11°C
Nein
12°C
Nein
13°C
Ja
14°C
Nein
15°C
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C oder höher
Nein
13°C 100.0%
9°C oder weniger <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$138,332 Vol.
$138,332 Vol.
9°C oder weniger
Nein
10°C
Nein
11°C
Nein
12°C
Nein
13°C
Ja
14°C
Nein
15°C
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Official meteorological observations from Météo-France recorded a daily maximum temperature of 13°C in Paris on May 15, locking in the market's overwhelming consensus. Cool northwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover limited daytime heating across northern France, preventing any exceedance of that threshold. This outcome sits well below the mid-May climatological average of 18–20°C, driven by a transient high-pressure system that favored stable rather than warming conditions. With the 24-hour observation window now closed and data verified, remaining uncertainty centers only on minor post-processing adjustments that rarely exceed 0.5°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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