Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 37% implied probability for Chongqing's highest temperature reaching 25°C or higher on May 16, driven by the latest numerical weather prediction models like GFS and ECMWF forecasting daytime peaks near 24-25°C at Jiangbei International Airport amid persistent subtropical monsoon cloud cover and light precipitation risks. Recent scattered showers over the past 48 hours have capped actual highs in the low-to-mid 20s°C, 2-3°C below mid-May climatological averages of 26°C, tempering expectations despite urban heat island effects and seasonal warming trends. Continued overcast conditions favor 23°C (24.5%) or 24°C (22.5%), though partial clearing could push toward the upper end; watch overnight model updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Chongqing on May 16?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 16?
25°C or higher 39%
24°C 27%
23°C 23%
22°C 13%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
13%
23°C
23%
24°C
27%
25°C or higher
39%
25°C or higher 39%
24°C 27%
23°C 23%
22°C 13%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
13%
23°C
23%
24°C
27%
25°C or higher
39%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 14, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 37% implied probability for Chongqing's highest temperature reaching 25°C or higher on May 16, driven by the latest numerical weather prediction models like GFS and ECMWF forecasting daytime peaks near 24-25°C at Jiangbei International Airport amid persistent subtropical monsoon cloud cover and light precipitation risks. Recent scattered showers over the past 48 hours have capped actual highs in the low-to-mid 20s°C, 2-3°C below mid-May climatological averages of 26°C, tempering expectations despite urban heat island effects and seasonal warming trends. Continued overcast conditions favor 23°C (24.5%) or 24°C (22.5%), though partial clearing could push toward the upper end; watch overnight model updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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