Met Office forecasts indicate London's lowest temperature on May 19 at around 12°C, with BBC Weather aligning at 13°C low amid light rain and southwesterly breezes, reflecting trader sentiment toward mild spring conditions slightly above the historical May average of 9°C at Heathrow. This positioning stems from the recent early-May cold snap—driven by Arctic air and northerly flows that dropped UK temperatures below average—now transitioning to a high-pressure ridge stabilizing overnight minima. Model consensus from ECMWF and GFS supports this, though cloud cover introduces uncertainty, potentially varying the low by 1-2°C. Daily updates from the Met Office through May 18 will sharpen resolution criteria based on official station measurements.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in London am 19. Mai?
Niedrigste Temperatur in London am 19. Mai?
15°C oder höher 48%
11°C 27%
9°C 25%
12°C 25%
5°C oder weniger
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
5%
8°C
21%
9°C
25%
10°C
20%
11°C
27%
12°C
25%
13°C
23%
14°C
18%
15°C oder höher
48%
15°C oder höher 48%
11°C 27%
9°C 25%
12°C 25%
5°C oder weniger
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
5%
8°C
21%
9°C
25%
10°C
20%
11°C
27%
12°C
25%
13°C
23%
14°C
18%
15°C oder höher
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCMet Office forecasts indicate London's lowest temperature on May 19 at around 12°C, with BBC Weather aligning at 13°C low amid light rain and southwesterly breezes, reflecting trader sentiment toward mild spring conditions slightly above the historical May average of 9°C at Heathrow. This positioning stems from the recent early-May cold snap—driven by Arctic air and northerly flows that dropped UK temperatures below average—now transitioning to a high-pressure ridge stabilizing overnight minima. Model consensus from ECMWF and GFS supports this, though cloud cover introduces uncertainty, potentially varying the low by 1-2°C. Daily updates from the Met Office through May 18 will sharpen resolution criteria based on official station measurements.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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