Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching exactly 29°C on May 15, 2026, driven by the latest forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and China Meteorological Administration indicators showing a daily high of 84°F (29°C) amid mostly cloudy skies and persistent humidity near 80%. This aligns with recent observations—28°C on May 14 and 26°C on May 13—reflecting suppressed solar heating from overcast conditions following an early-month peak near 31°C. Current readings at 2 p.m. local time already hit 84°F, with minimal diurnal warming expected. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud breaks allowing extra insolation, though model ensembles show low likelihood before resolution at midnight.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 15?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 15?
29°C 100.0%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$69,288 Vol.
$69,288 Vol.
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 100.0%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$69,288 Vol.
$69,288 Vol.
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 13, 2026, 1:11 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching exactly 29°C on May 15, 2026, driven by the latest forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and China Meteorological Administration indicators showing a daily high of 84°F (29°C) amid mostly cloudy skies and persistent humidity near 80%. This aligns with recent observations—28°C on May 14 and 26°C on May 13—reflecting suppressed solar heating from overcast conditions following an early-month peak near 31°C. Current readings at 2 p.m. local time already hit 84°F, with minimal diurnal warming expected. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud breaks allowing extra insolation, though model ensembles show low likelihood before resolution at midnight.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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