Latest AEMET observations show Madrid's key stations like Retiro and Barajas peaking at 15-16°C by mid-morning on May 15 amid persistent overcast skies and atmospheric instability, capping solar insolation and limiting daytime heating after yesterday's 21-22°C maxima. ECMWF and AEMET forecast ensembles converge on a daily high near 17°C, with residual high cloud cover as the primary constraint; faster dissipation could allow 18-19°C, while lingering moisture favors 16°C or below. Trader consensus, reflected in 56.5% implied odds for 17°C, aligns with this model agreement and current trends, though afternoon updates from hourly monitoring could shift outcomes as instability evolves. Historical May averages near 23°C underscore the anomalously cool setup driven by recent frontal passage.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Madrid on May 15?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 15?
17°C 54%
18°C 24%
16°C 22%
19°C 3.8%
$45,363 Vol.
$45,363 Vol.
15. Mai 2026
16°C
22%
17°C
54%
18°C
24%
19°C
4%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
17°C 54%
18°C 24%
16°C 22%
19°C 3.8%
$45,363 Vol.
$45,363 Vol.
15. Mai 2026
16°C
$4,035 Vol.
22%
17°C
$3,950 Vol.
54%
18°C
$3,583 Vol.
24%
19°C
$4,074 Vol.
4%
20°C
$4,228 Vol.
1%
21°C
$3,291 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,412 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$4,416 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest AEMET observations show Madrid's key stations like Retiro and Barajas peaking at 15-16°C by mid-morning on May 15 amid persistent overcast skies and atmospheric instability, capping solar insolation and limiting daytime heating after yesterday's 21-22°C maxima. ECMWF and AEMET forecast ensembles converge on a daily high near 17°C, with residual high cloud cover as the primary constraint; faster dissipation could allow 18-19°C, while lingering moisture favors 16°C or below. Trader consensus, reflected in 56.5% implied odds for 17°C, aligns with this model agreement and current trends, though afternoon updates from hourly monitoring could shift outcomes as instability evolves. Historical May averages near 23°C underscore the anomalously cool setup driven by recent frontal passage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 13, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Volumen
$45,363Enddatum
15. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 13, 2026, 12:41 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest AEMET observations show Madrid's key stations like Retiro and Barajas peaking at 15-16°C by mid-morning on May 15 amid persistent overcast skies and atmospheric instability, capping solar insolation and limiting daytime heating after yesterday's 21-22°C maxima. ECMWF and AEMET forecast ensembles converge on a daily high near 17°C, with residual high cloud cover as the primary constraint; faster dissipation could allow 18-19°C, while lingering moisture favors 16°C or below. Trader consensus, reflected in 56.5% implied odds for 17°C, aligns with this model agreement and current trends, though afternoon updates from hourly monitoring could shift outcomes as instability evolves. Historical May averages near 23°C underscore the anomalously cool setup driven by recent frontal passage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$45,363Enddatum
15. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 13, 2026, 12:41 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest AEMET observations show Madrid's key stations like Retiro and Barajas peaking at 15-16°C by mid-morning on May 15 amid persistent overcast skies and atmospheric instability, capping solar insolation and limiting daytime heating after yesterday's 21-22°C maxima. ECMWF and AEMET forecast ensembles converge on a daily high near 17°C, with residual high cloud cover as the primary constraint; faster dissipation could allow 18-19°C, while lingering moisture favors 16°C or below. Trader consensus, reflected in 56.5% implied odds for 17°C, aligns with this model agreement and current trends, though afternoon updates from hourly monitoring could shift outcomes as instability evolves. Historical May averages near 23°C underscore the anomalously cool setup driven by recent frontal passage.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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