Recent forecasts from European meteorological models place Madrid's daytime high near 22–23°C on May 17, driven by moderate springtime solar insolation under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow that limits warm-air advection from North Africa. This aligns with the long-term May climatology for the region, where mean daily maxima hover around 23°C with a standard deviation of roughly 3°C. With no active frontal systems or significant moisture expected to suppress heating, trader consensus has concentrated on the 22°C outcome as the most probable resolution threshold, while the narrower spread to 21°C and 23°C reflects residual uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and exact wind speeds reported by AEMET stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Madrid am 17. Mai?
Höchste Temperatur in Madrid am 17. Mai?
22°C 46%
23°C 27%
21°C 22%
24°C 7%
NEU
$12,196 Vol.
NEU
$12,196 Vol.
17. Mai 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
22%
22°C
46%
23°C
27%
24°C
7%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 46%
23°C 27%
21°C 22%
24°C 7%
NEU
$12,196 Vol.
NEU
$12,196 Vol.
17. Mai 2026
17°C or below
$1,678 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,075 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,231 Vol.
1%
20°C
$897 Vol.
3%
21°C
$1,964 Vol.
22%
22°C
$1,679 Vol.
46%
23°C
$1,224 Vol.
27%
24°C
$627 Vol.
7%
25°C
$493 Vol.
1%
26°C
$506 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$914 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from European meteorological models place Madrid's daytime high near 22–23°C on May 17, driven by moderate springtime solar insolation under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow that limits warm-air advection from North Africa. This aligns with the long-term May climatology for the region, where mean daily maxima hover around 23°C with a standard deviation of roughly 3°C. With no active frontal systems or significant moisture expected to suppress heating, trader consensus has concentrated on the 22°C outcome as the most probable resolution threshold, while the narrower spread to 21°C and 23°C reflects residual uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and exact wind speeds reported by AEMET stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$12,196Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from European meteorological models place Madrid's daytime high near 22–23°C on May 17, driven by moderate springtime solar insolation under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow that limits warm-air advection from North Africa. This aligns with the long-term May climatology for the region, where mean daily maxima hover around 23°C with a standard deviation of roughly 3°C. With no active frontal systems or significant moisture expected to suppress heating, trader consensus has concentrated on the 22°C outcome as the most probable resolution threshold, while the narrower spread to 21°C and 23°C reflects residual uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and exact wind speeds reported by AEMET stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$12,196Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDRecent forecasts from European meteorological models place Madrid's daytime high near 22–23°C on May 17, driven by moderate springtime solar insolation under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow that limits warm-air advection from North Africa. This aligns with the long-term May climatology for the region, where mean daily maxima hover around 23°C with a standard deviation of roughly 3°C. With no active frontal systems or significant moisture expected to suppress heating, trader consensus has concentrated on the 22°C outcome as the most probable resolution threshold, while the narrower spread to 21°C and 23°C reflects residual uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and exact wind speeds reported by AEMET stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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